Football · England Northern Premier League · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Warrington Rylands vs FC United of Manchester

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Warrington Rylands1.48

FC United of Manchester1.35

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Warrington Rylands Draw FC United of Manchester

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Warrington Rylands 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLWLWW

FC United of Manchester 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Warrington Rylands 3–2–1 FC United of Manchester (6 last)

FC United of Manchester2-3Warrington Rylands
Warrington Rylands1-2FC United of Manchester
FC United of Manchester0-1Warrington Rylands
FC United of Manchester2-2Warrington Rylands
Warrington Rylands1-1FC United of Manchester
FC United of Manchester1-2Warrington Rylands

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Warrington Rylands 1546 · FC United of Manchester 1478

	Warrington Rylands	Draw	FC United of Manchester
Our model	39%	27%	33%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Warrington Rylands (rating 1546 vs 1478).
H2H favours Warrington Rylands: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Warrington Rylands	FC United of Manchester
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/75/25%	56/11/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.6 / 1.8	2.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.45 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:01 +3’	2.25	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:05	2.45	3.25	2.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Warrington Rylands 3–2–1 FC United of Manchester

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/04/26 England Northern Premier League	FC United of Manchester	2-3 HT 2-1	Warrington Rylands
21/03/26 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	1-2	FC United of Manchester
08/11/25 England Northern Premier League	FC United of Manchester	0-1 HT 0-0	Warrington Rylands
07/01/25 England Northern Premier League	FC United of Manchester	2-2 HT 1-0	Warrington Rylands
10/09/24 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	1-1 HT 0-0	FC United of Manchester
05/03/24 England Northern Premier League	FC United of Manchester	1-2 HT 1-0	Warrington Rylands

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Emley AFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Alfreton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ashton Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Avro FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bamber Bridge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bury	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cleethorpes Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Curzon Ashton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC United of Manchester	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gainsborough	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guiseley	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hyde Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ilkeston	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lancaster City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leek Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Quorn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Redcar Athletic	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stockton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Warrington Rylands	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Warrington Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Whitby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Workington	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Warrington Rylands	FC United of Manchester
Trafford	0-2 L	3-0 W
Stockton Town	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC United of Manchester (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Warrington Rylands

WWLWDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	AFC Fylde UK Friendlies	0-0	2-0	1	1	W
24/07	Silsden Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/07	Trafford Club Friendly List	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
11/07	Rhyl Club Friendly List	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
04/07	Hebburn Town UK Friendlies	0-3	0-5	2	0	L
04/05	Hednesford England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
28/04	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	1-2	3-2	3	2	W
25/04	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	Stocksbridge PS England Northern Premier League	–	3-2	–	–	W
06/04	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	0	4	W

FC United of Manchester

DLLLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Macclesfield UK Friendlies	0-1	0-2	6	0	L
24/07	Southport UK Friendlies	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
20/07	Trafford Club Friendly List	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
18/07	Salford City UK Friendlies	0-1	1-4	1	1	L
14/07	Rochdale UK Friendlies	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
11/07	Runcorn Linnets UK Friendlies	2-0	4-0	1	0	W
04/07	Bradford UK Friendlies	0-0	1-2	5	0	L
28/04	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	2-1	2-3	6	2	L
25/04	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	2-3	–	–	L
21/04	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Warrington Rylands vs FC United of Manchester?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Warrington Rylands win (39%). Probabilities: Warrington Rylands 39%, draw 27%, FC United of Manchester 34%.

How many goals are expected in Warrington Rylands vs FC United of Manchester?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Warrington Rylands 1.48 · FC United of Manchester 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Warrington Rylands vs FC United of Manchester?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.