Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Banbury vs Leamington

Team pages: Banbury · Leamington

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Banbury1.78

Leamington1.51

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Banbury Draw Leamington

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Banbury 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLDWLD

Leamington 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLDWLDLLLL

Head-to-head

Banbury 2–1–3 Leamington (6 last)

Banbury2-2Leamington
Leamington1-0Banbury
Leamington0-1Banbury
Leamington3-2Banbury
Leamington1-0Banbury
Banbury1-0Leamington

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Banbury 1459 · Leamington 1438

	Banbury	Draw	Leamington
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Leamington: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Banbury	Leamington
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/57/29%	43/14/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:35 +5’	2.05	3.60	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Banbury 2–1–3 Leamington

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/23 England National League North	Banbury	2-2 HT 1-1	Leamington
29/08/22 England National League North	Leamington	1-0 HT 1-0	Banbury
03/10/20 England FA Cup Qualification	Leamington	0-1	Banbury
19/11/19 England County Cup	Leamington	3-2 HT 1-2	Banbury
17/04/17 England Southern League Premier	Leamington	1-0	Banbury
02/01/17 England Southern League Premier	Banbury	1-0	Leamington

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	16	11	2	3	40	22	35
2	Bury Town	16	10	2	4	28	25	32
3	Bromsgrove	14	9	4	1	28	14	31
4	Kettering	15	8	4	3	29	17	28
5	Rushall Olympic	16	9	0	7	32	25	27
6	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
7	Peterborough Sports	15	7	5	3	31	25	26
8	Needham Market	15	7	4	4	32	23	25
9	Anstey Nomads	14	6	5	3	27	21	23
10	Halesowen	13	7	2	4	20	18	23
11	Stourbridge	14	6	4	4	19	17	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	15	5	5	5	22	19	20
13	Redditch	13	4	6	3	22	20	18
14	Stratford Town	15	3	7	5	21	27	16
15	Leiston	13	4	3	6	23	26	15
16	Banbury	15	3	5	7	18	28	14
17	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
18	Hitchin	15	3	4	8	17	23	13
19	Bishop's Stortford	15	4	1	10	18	28	13
20	Leamington	15	2	4	9	21	30	10
21	Leighton Town	14	1	3	10	15	32	6
22	Stamford	15	1	1	13	4	39	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Banbury	Leamington
Bromsgrove	1-1 D	1-1 D
Peterborough Sports	2-4 L	2-4 L
Stratford Town	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Banbury

LLDLWLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
27/10	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-3	8	1	L
20/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
17/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	2-4	6	6	L
10/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-3	0	2	L
22/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
31/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L

Leamington

WLDWLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
27/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-3	3	4	L
20/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-3	11	6	L
17/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
13/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	2-2	10	6	D
10/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	4-0	3	0	W
29/09	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
12/09	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
01/09	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Banbury vs Leamington?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Banbury win (43%). Probabilities: Banbury 43%, draw 25%, Leamington 32%.

How many goals are expected in Banbury vs Leamington?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Banbury 1.78 · Leamington 1.51), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Banbury vs Leamington?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.