Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Needham Market vs Banbury

Team pages: Needham Market · Banbury

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Needham Market1.87

Banbury1.11

1X2

55% 24% 22%

Needham Market Draw Banbury

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Needham Market 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWWDDW

Banbury 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLDWLDLL

Head-to-head

Needham Market 0–3–3 Banbury (6 last)

Needham Market0-2Banbury
Banbury0-0Needham Market
Needham Market1-4Banbury
Banbury3-3Needham Market
Banbury1-1Needham Market
Banbury4-2Needham Market

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Needham Market 1533 · Banbury 1441

	Needham Market	Draw	Banbury
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	55%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Needham Market (rating 1533 vs 1441).
H2H favours Banbury: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Needham Market	Banbury
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/11/22%	14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.4	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.4	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:55 +13’	1.61	3.90	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Needham Market 0–3–3 Banbury

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	0-2	Banbury
13/12/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	0-0	Needham Market
23/04/22 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	1-4	Banbury
11/09/21 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	3-3	Needham Market
10/10/20 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	1-1	Needham Market
03/03/20 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	4-2 HT 2-1	Needham Market

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	18	13	2	3	47	23	41
2	Bromsgrove	16	11	4	1	34	18	37
3	Bury Town	18	11	3	4	32	27	36
4	Kettering	17	9	4	4	31	19	31
5	Peterborough Sports	17	8	6	3	33	26	30
6	Alvechurch	15	8	5	2	29	14	29
7	Anstey Nomads	16	8	5	3	33	24	29
8	Needham Market	16	8	4	4	36	24	28
9	Rushall Olympic	18	9	1	8	33	29	28
10	Halesowen	15	7	3	5	24	24	24
11	Stourbridge	16	6	4	6	21	23	22
12	Stratford Town	17	5	7	5	24	28	22
13	Racing Club Warwick	17	5	5	7	24	24	20
14	Redditch	15	4	6	5	23	23	18
15	Worcester City	14	4	4	6	17	18	16
16	Hitchin	16	4	4	8	20	24	16
17	Leiston	15	4	3	8	26	33	15
18	Bishop's Stortford	17	4	2	11	19	30	14
19	Banbury	17	3	5	9	19	31	14
20	Leamington	17	3	4	10	24	33	13
21	Leighton Town	15	1	3	11	16	35	6
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	5	40	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Needham Market	Banbury
Leighton Town	1-1 D	1-0 W
Leamington	2-1 W	0-1 L
Bury Town	5-0 W	2-2 D
Stamford	4-0 W	3-2 W
Worcester City	2-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Needham Market (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Needham Market

WWLDWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	4-1	5	6	W
31/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-3	–	–	D
27/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
20/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-1	5	0	W
17/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-1	1	6	W
13/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	3-0	5-0	10	2	W
10/10	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
03/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-3	3-5	0	5	L
29/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	4-0	4-0	5	2	W
12/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	3	3	W

Banbury

DLWLDWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
07/11	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
27/10	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-3	8	1	L
20/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
17/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	2-4	6	6	L
10/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-3	0	2	L
22/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Needham Market vs Banbury?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Needham Market win (55%). Probabilities: Needham Market 55%, draw 24%, Banbury 22%.

How many goals are expected in Needham Market vs Banbury?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Needham Market 1.87 · Banbury 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Needham Market vs Banbury?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.