Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Bishop's Stortford vs Stratford Town

Team pages: Bishop's Stortford · Stratford Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Bishop's Stortford1.63

Stratford Town1.72

1X2

36% 25% 40%

Bishop's Stortford Draw Stratford Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Bishop's Stortford 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Stratford Town 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bishop's Stortford 0–3–3 Stratford Town (6 last)

Bishop's Stortford1-1Stratford Town
Stratford Town4-1Bishop's Stortford
Bishop's Stortford1-1Stratford Town
Stratford Town1-0Bishop's Stortford
Bishop's Stortford1-1Stratford Town
Stratford Town3-1Bishop's Stortford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bishop's Stortford 1441 · Stratford Town 1510

	Bishop's Stortford	Draw	Stratford Town
Our model	36%	25%	40%
Market	36%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stratford Town (rating 1441 vs 1510).
H2H favours Stratford Town: 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bishop's Stortford	Stratford Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1.5	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.5	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:24 +30’	2.50	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bishop's Stortford 0–3–3 Stratford Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Bishop's Stortford	1-1	Stratford Town
27/01/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	4-1 HT 2-0	Bishop's Stortford
22/02/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Bishop's Stortford	1-1	Stratford Town
30/11/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	1-0	Bishop's Stortford
28/04/18 England Southern League Premier	Bishop's Stortford	1-1	Stratford Town
04/11/17 England Southern League Premier	Stratford Town	3-1	Bishop's Stortford

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	16	11	2	3	40	22	35
2	Bury Town	16	10	2	4	28	25	32
3	Bromsgrove	14	9	4	1	28	14	31
4	Kettering	15	8	4	3	29	17	28
5	Rushall Olympic	16	9	0	7	32	25	27
6	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
7	Peterborough Sports	15	7	5	3	31	25	26
8	Needham Market	15	7	4	4	32	23	25
9	Anstey Nomads	14	6	5	3	27	21	23
10	Halesowen	13	7	2	4	20	18	23
11	Stourbridge	14	6	4	4	19	17	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	15	5	5	5	22	19	20
13	Redditch	13	4	6	3	22	20	18
14	Stratford Town	15	3	7	5	21	27	16
15	Leiston	13	4	3	6	23	26	15
16	Banbury	15	3	5	7	18	28	14
17	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
18	Hitchin	15	3	4	8	17	23	13
19	Bishop's Stortford	15	4	1	10	18	28	13
20	Leamington	15	2	4	9	21	30	10
21	Leighton Town	14	1	3	10	15	32	6
22	Stamford	15	1	1	13	4	39	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bishop's Stortford	Stratford Town
Stamford	0-1 L	0-0 D
Racing Club Warwick	2-4 L	0-0 D
Leamington	3-1 W	2-1 W
Hitchin	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Stratford Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bishop's Stortford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-4	–	–	L
27/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
24/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
20/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-2	6	0	L
17/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
10/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
19/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W

Stratford Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
27/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	2-2	4-4	4	3	D
17/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
22/09	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	2-3	4	3	L
12/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bishop's Stortford vs Stratford Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stratford Town win (40%). Probabilities: Bishop's Stortford 36%, draw 25%, Stratford Town 40%.

How many goals are expected in Bishop's Stortford vs Stratford Town?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Bishop's Stortford 1.63 · Stratford Town 1.72), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bishop's Stortford vs Stratford Town?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.