Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 20/07, 20:45
Prediction: Ballyclare Comrades (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Ballyclare Comrades (W)1.75
Ballymena Utd (W)1.63
1X2
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Draw
Ballymena Utd (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Ballymena Utd (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
1–1–0
Ballymena Utd (W)
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1480 · Ballymena Utd (W) 1462
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | Draw | Ballymena Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 42% | 21% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | Ballymena Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.1 | 0.9 / 2.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.4 / 0 | 1.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1–1–0 Ballymena Utd (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 Northern Ireland Cup Women | Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Ballymena Utd (W) |
| 23/07/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Ballymena Utd (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ballyclare Comrades (W) | Ballymena Utd (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sion Swifts (W) | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | 0-5 L | 1-4 L |
| Craigavon City (W) | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Bangor FC (W) | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Strabane Athletic (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Ballymoney United (W) | 4-1 W | 2-4 L |
| St. James Swifts (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 22/06 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/06 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/06 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
4-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 15/04 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 01/04 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
Ballymena Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 08/07 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 06/07 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 08/04 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ballyclare Comrades (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ballyclare Comrades (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Ballyclare Comrades (W) 41%, draw 23%, Ballymena Utd (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Ballyclare Comrades (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1.75 · Ballymena Utd (W) 1.63), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ballyclare Comrades (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.