Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 22/07, 21:00

Prediction: Greenisland (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
Greenisland (W)2.92
Strabane Athletic (W)0.92
1X2
79% 14% 7%
Greenisland (W) Draw Strabane Athletic (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Greenisland (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLLWWWWW
Strabane Athletic (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLDLLLLW
Head-to-head
Greenisland (W) 0–1 Strabane Athletic (W) (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Greenisland (W) 1572 · Strabane Athletic (W) 1444
Greenisland (W)DrawStrabane Athletic (W)
Our model77%14%8%
Market81%13%6%
Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Greenisland (W) (rating 1572 vs 1444).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Greenisland (W)Strabane Athletic (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.31.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.70.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.91.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0.3 / 00.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Greenisland (W) 001 Strabane Athletic (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/04/26
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Strabane Athletic (W)2-0
HT 0-0
Greenisland (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGreenisland (W)Strabane Athletic (W)
Mid Ulster (W) 6-0 W 2-2 D
Ballymoney United (W) 2-1 W 0-2 L
Ballyclare Comrades (W) 2-1 W 0-1 L
St. James Swifts (W) 3-2 W 3-4 L
Craigavon City (W) 2-1 W 6-0 W
Bangor FC (W) 1-4 L 3-5 L
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Greenisland (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Greenisland (W)

WWWLLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/07 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
5-0 6-0 20 W
08/07 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 2-1 31 W
24/06 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 2-1 20 W
03/06 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-2 3-2 30 W
06/05 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 2-1 51 W
22/04 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-3 1-4 61 L
15/04 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-2 70 L
08/04 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 3-2 30 W
01/04 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 1-0 40 W
08/09 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 3-0 40 W

Strabane Athletic (W)

LLWLDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/07 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
4-0 6-0 31 W
24/06 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-2 11 L
17/06 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 3-5 62 L
03/06 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-2 50 L
20/05 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-1 71 L
08/05 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 2-2 21 D
29/04 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 3-4 30 L
15/04 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 2-0 30 W
10/04 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 1-3 71 L
25/03 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-4 01 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Greenisland (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Greenisland (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Greenisland (W) 79%, draw 14%, Strabane Athletic (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Greenisland (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)?

The model expects 3.85 goals (Greenisland (W) 2.92 · Strabane Athletic (W) 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Greenisland (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.