Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 24/07, 20:45

Prediction: Craigavon City (W) vs Bangor FC (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.39Total
Craigavon City (W)1.19
Bangor FC (W)3.19
1X2
10% 14% 76%
Craigavon City (W) Draw Bangor FC (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Craigavon City (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
WLLLLWLLLL
Bangor FC (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWLLWWWWDL
Head-to-head
Craigavon City (W) 0–1 Bangor FC (W) (1 last)
  • Bangor FC (W)4-1Craigavon City (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Craigavon City (W) 1411 · Bangor FC (W) 1537
Craigavon City (W)DrawBangor FC (W)
Our model10%14%76%
Market10%14%76%
Estimated total (ours) 4.39 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bangor FC (W) (rating 1411 vs 1537).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Craigavon City (W)Bangor FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 3.13.3 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 21.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/10/70%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 2.32.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.1 / 0.10.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Craigavon City (W) 001 Bangor FC (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/04/26
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Bangor FC (W)4-1
HT 3-0
Craigavon City (W)

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCraigavon City (W)Bangor FC (W)
Ballymena Utd (W) 0-2 L 0-0 D
Strabane Athletic (W) 0-6 L 5-3 W
Ballymoney United (W) 1-2 L 6-1 W
Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1-3 L 4-1 W
Mid Ulster (W) 1-0 W 7-0 W
St. James Swifts (W) 1-5 L 1-4 L
Sion Swifts (W) 0-6 L 1-4 L
Greenisland (W) 1-2 L 4-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 7 L 5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bangor FC (W) (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Craigavon City (W)

WLLLLWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Cup Women
0-2 0-2 30 L
08/07 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-4 0-6 21 L
26/06 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 1-2 01 L
17/06 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 1-3 41 L
05/06 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 1-0 22 W
20/05 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-4 1-5 53 L
15/05 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 0-6 12 L
06/05 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 1-2 11 L
15/04 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 1-4 00 L
10/04 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-0 3-1 51 W

Bangor FC (W)

WWLLWWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Derry City (W)
Northern Ireland Cup Women
0-6 1-9 52 L
08/07 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-0 51 D
01/07 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 6-1 30 W
17/06 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 5-3 82 W
03/06 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 4-1 80 W
13/05 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-0 7-0 31 W
06/05 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-2 1-4 41 L
29/04 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 1-4 61 L
22/04 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-1 4-1 41 W
15/04 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-0 4-1 60 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Craigavon City (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bangor FC (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Craigavon City (W) 10%, draw 14%, Bangor FC (W) 76%.

How many goals are expected in Craigavon City (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?

The model expects 4.39 goals (Craigavon City (W) 1.19 · Bangor FC (W) 3.19), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Craigavon City (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.