Prediction: Werder Bremen (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)

Team pages: Werder Bremen (W) · Hamburger SV (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Werder Bremen (W)1.97
Hamburger SV (W)0.85
1X2
63% 22% 15%
Werder Bremen (W) Draw Hamburger SV (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Werder Bremen (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDDLLWWWWL
Hamburger SV (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLLWLLLDLD
Head-to-head
Werder Bremen (W) 1–2–0 Hamburger SV (W) (3 last)
  • Hamburger SV (W)1-1Werder Bremen (W)
  • Werder Bremen (W)2-0Hamburger SV (W)
  • Hamburger SV (W)1-1Werder Bremen (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Werder Bremen (W) 1537 · Hamburger SV (W) 1422
Werder Bremen (W)DrawHamburger SV (W)
Our model63%23%14%
Market64%21%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Werder Bremen (W) (rating 1537 vs 1422).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Werder Bremen (W)Hamburger SV (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.20.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 5.51.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.34.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Werder Bremen (W) 120 Hamburger SV (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Germany Bundesliga Women
Hamburger SV (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Werder Bremen (W)
11/10/25
Germany Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen (W)2-0
HT 1-0
Hamburger SV (W)
23/03/25
Germany DFB Pokal Women
Hamburger SV (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Werder Bremen (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Wolfsburg (W) 3300 1359
2 Bayern Munich (W) 3300 1029
3 Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 3210 417
4 VfB Stuttgart (W) 3210 757
5 FC Cologne (W) 3201 526
6 Werder Bremen (W) 3201 646
7 Bayer Leverkusen (W) 3201 536
8 Freiburg (W) 3111 354
9 Hamburger SV (W) 3021 342
10 Nurnberg (W) 3021 6122
11 RB Leipzig (W) 3012 151
12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 3003 250
13 Union Berlin (W) 3003 160
14 Mainz (W) 3003 180

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWerder Bremen (W)Hamburger SV (W)
RB Leipzig (W) 2-0 W 1-1 D
Bayer Leverkusen (W) 3-1 W 1-3 L
Carl Zeiss Jena (W) 7-0 W 1-1 D
FC Cologne (W) 0-3 L 1-2 L
Bayern Munich (W) 0-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Werder Bremen (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Werder Bremen (W)

WDDLLWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Wolfsburg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
1-0 2-3 53 L
30/08 RB Leipzig (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
2-0 2-0 113 W
24/08 Mainz (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
2-1 2-1 46 W
17/05 Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
1-0 3-1 23 W
10/05 Carl Zeiss Jena (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
4-0 7-0 61 W
02/05 FC Cologne (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-2 0-3 55 L
29/04 Bayern Munich (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 0-2 44 L
25/04 RB Leipzig (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-1 1-1 75 D
22/04 Wolfsburg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 0-0 15 D
29/03 SGS Essen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 2-1 104 W

Hamburger SV (W)

DLLWLLLDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 RB Leipzig (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
1-1 1-1 16 D
29/08 VfB Stuttgart (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
1-1 1-2 66 L
23/08 Freiburg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 1-1 D
17/05 Bayern Munich (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 0-1 33 L
09/05 FC Cologne (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-1 1-2 55 L
01/05 Union Berlin (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 0-1 56 L
24/04 Nurnberg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 1-0 75 W
30/03 Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
1-1 1-3 34 L
21/03 Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-1 1-4 23 L
15/03 Carl Zeiss Jena (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
1-1 1-1 47 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Werder Bremen (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Werder Bremen (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Werder Bremen (W) 63%, draw 22%, Hamburger SV (W) 15%.

How many goals are expected in Werder Bremen (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Werder Bremen (W) 1.97 · Hamburger SV (W) 0.85), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Werder Bremen (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.