Prediction: Union Berlin (W) vs RB Leipzig (W)
Team pages: Union Berlin (W) · RB Leipzig (W)
- RB Leipzig (W)2-2Union Berlin (W)
- Union Berlin (W)5-0RB Leipzig (W)
- Union Berlin (W)1-0RB Leipzig (W)
| Union Berlin (W) | Draw | RB Leipzig (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Union Berlin (W): 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Berlin (W) | RB Leipzig (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.2 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Berlin (W) 2–1–0 RB Leipzig (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | RB Leipzig (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Union Berlin (W) |
| 19/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Union Berlin (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | RB Leipzig (W) |
| 08/09/24 Germany DFB Pokal Women | Union Berlin (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | RB Leipzig (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | FC Cologne (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Freiburg (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 12 | Nurnberg (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 2 |
| 13 | Union Berlin (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 | Mainz (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Berlin (W) | RB Leipzig (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg (W) | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Hamburger SV (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Wolfsburg (W) | 3-3 D | 2-3 L |
| Werder Bremen (W) | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Berlin (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Berlin (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 21/08 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/03 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
RB Leipzig (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/05 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/03 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 22/03 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Berlin (W) vs RB Leipzig (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Berlin (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Union Berlin (W) 50%, draw 25%, RB Leipzig (W) 25%.
How many goals are expected in Union Berlin (W) vs RB Leipzig (W)?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Union Berlin (W) 1.8 · RB Leipzig (W) 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Berlin (W) vs RB Leipzig (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.