Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 18/09, 18:30
Prediction: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) vs Wolfsburg (W)
Team pages: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) · Wolfsburg (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)0.95
Wolfsburg (W)2.46
1X2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Draw
Wolfsburg (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Wolfsburg (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
2–4
Wolfsburg (W)
(6 last)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)0-1Wolfsburg (W)
- Wolfsburg (W)2-1TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
- Wolfsburg (W)2-1TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)1-0Wolfsburg (W)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)0-3Wolfsburg (W)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)2-1Wolfsburg (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 1494 · Wolfsburg (W) 1610
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | Draw | Wolfsburg (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| Market | 13% | 16% | 71% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolfsburg (W) (rating 1494 vs 1610).
- H2H favours Wolfsburg (W): 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | Wolfsburg (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 2.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 1.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 2–0–4 Wolfsburg (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Wolfsburg (W) |
| 01/11/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Wolfsburg (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) |
| 28/04/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Wolfsburg (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) |
| 12/02/25 Germany DFB Pokal Women | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wolfsburg (W) |
| 09/11/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Wolfsburg (W) |
| 15/03/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Wolfsburg (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | FC Cologne (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Freiburg (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 12 | Nurnberg (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 2 |
| 13 | Union Berlin (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 | Mainz (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | Wolfsburg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 2-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| VfB Stuttgart (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| RB Leipzig (W) | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Union Berlin (W) | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Freiburg (W) | 2-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Wolfsburg (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/04 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
4-1 | 6-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Wolfsburg (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 8-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/03 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) vs Wolfsburg (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Wolfsburg (W) win (70%). Probabilities: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 12%, draw 17%, Wolfsburg (W) 70%.
How many goals are expected in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) vs Wolfsburg (W)?
The model expects 3.41 goals (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 0.95 · Wolfsburg (W) 2.46), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) vs Wolfsburg (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.