Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 19/09, 14:00
Prediction: Bayern Munich (W) vs FC Cologne (W)
Team pages: Bayern Munich (W) · FC Cologne (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.82Total
Bayern Munich (W)2.91
FC Cologne (W)0.91
1X2
Bayern Munich (W)
Draw
FC Cologne (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Bayern Munich (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
FC Cologne (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bayern Munich (W)
6–0
FC Cologne (W)
(6 last)
- FC Cologne (W)0-3Bayern Munich (W)
- Bayern Munich (W)5-1FC Cologne (W)
- FC Cologne (W)0-3Bayern Munich (W)
- Bayern Munich (W)1-0FC Cologne (W)
- FC Cologne (W)0-5Bayern Munich (W)
- Bayern Munich (W)2-0FC Cologne (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayern Munich (W) 1688 · FC Cologne (W) 1548
| Bayern Munich (W) | Draw | FC Cologne (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 81% | 12% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayern Munich (W) (rating 1688 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Bayern Munich (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bayern Munich (W) | FC Cologne (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.7 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 8 | 2.5 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayern Munich (W) 6–0–0 FC Cologne (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | FC Cologne (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Bayern Munich (W) |
| 19/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayern Munich (W) | 5-1 HT 1-1 | FC Cologne (W) |
| 09/03/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | FC Cologne (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Bayern Munich (W) |
| 05/10/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayern Munich (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Cologne (W) |
| 10/02/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | FC Cologne (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Bayern Munich (W) |
| 02/10/23 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayern Munich (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Cologne (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | FC Cologne (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Freiburg (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 12 | Nurnberg (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 2 |
| 13 | Union Berlin (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 | Mainz (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bayern Munich (W) | FC Cologne (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Mainz (W) | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Union Berlin (W) | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Hamburger SV (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Werder Bremen (W) | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Nurnberg (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Cologne (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayern Munich (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/08 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
FC Cologne (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/08 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/04 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-4 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayern Munich (W) vs FC Cologne (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bayern Munich (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Bayern Munich (W) 79%, draw 13%, FC Cologne (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Bayern Munich (W) vs FC Cologne (W)?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Bayern Munich (W) 2.91 · FC Cologne (W) 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bayern Munich (W) vs FC Cologne (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.