Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 30/08, 14:00
Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt (W) vs Nurnberg (W)
Team pages: Eintracht Frankfurt (W) · Nurnberg (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.33Total
Eintracht Frankfurt (W)3.16
Nurnberg (W)1.16
1X2
Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Draw
Nurnberg (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Nurnberg (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
4–1–1
Nurnberg (W)
(6 last)
- Eintracht Frankfurt (W)4-1Nurnberg (W)
- Nurnberg (W)5-3Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
- Eintracht Frankfurt (W)4-1Nurnberg (W)
- Nurnberg (W)0-2Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
- Eintracht Frankfurt (W)0-0Nurnberg (W)
- Nurnberg (W)0-5Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 1600 · Nurnberg (W) 1435
| Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | Draw | Nurnberg (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 77% | 14% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eintracht Frankfurt (W) (rating 1600 vs 1435).
- H2H favours Eintracht Frankfurt (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | Nurnberg (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.2 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 4–1–1 Nurnberg (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Nurnberg (W) |
| 10/12/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Nurnberg (W) | 5-3 HT 2-1 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) |
| 20/04/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Nurnberg (W) |
| 18/11/23 Germany Bundesliga Women | Nurnberg (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) |
| 06/08/23 Women’s Friendly | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nurnberg (W) |
| 26/09/21 Germany DFB Pokal Women | Nurnberg (W) | 0-5 HT 0-1 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolfsburg (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Hamburger SV (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Freiburg (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Mainz (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Cologne (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | RB Leipzig (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Union Berlin (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Nurnberg (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | Nurnberg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Bayern Munich (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Wolfsburg (W) | 3-1 W | 2-8 L |
| Hamburger SV (W) | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Freiburg (W) | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Eintracht Frankfurt (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/03 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 23/02 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
Nurnberg (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | SGS Essen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 13/03 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 21/02 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/02 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eintracht Frankfurt (W) vs Nurnberg (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Eintracht Frankfurt (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 76%, draw 14%, Nurnberg (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Eintracht Frankfurt (W) vs Nurnberg (W)?
The model expects 4.33 goals (Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 3.16 · Nurnberg (W) 1.16), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt (W) vs Nurnberg (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.