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Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 06/09, 14:00

Prediction: Wolfsburg (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)

Team pages: Wolfsburg (W) · Werder Bremen (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
Wolfsburg (W)2.4
Werder Bremen (W)1.18
1X2
64% 20% 16%
Wolfsburg (W) Draw Werder Bremen (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Wolfsburg (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWDDLWWWWW
Werder Bremen (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDDLLWWWW
Head-to-head
Wolfsburg (W) 4–2–0 Werder Bremen (W) (6 last)
  • Werder Bremen (W)1-3Wolfsburg (W)
  • Werder Bremen (W)0-0Wolfsburg (W)
  • Wolfsburg (W)4-2Werder Bremen (W)
  • Werder Bremen (W)1-3Wolfsburg (W)
  • Wolfsburg (W)3-3Werder Bremen (W)
  • Werder Bremen (W)0-3Wolfsburg (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wolfsburg (W) 1592 · Werder Bremen (W) 1533
Wolfsburg (W)DrawWerder Bremen (W)
Our model64%20%16%
Market64%20%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolfsburg (W) (rating 1592 vs 1533).
  • H2H favours Wolfsburg (W): 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Wolfsburg (W)Werder Bremen (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 1.41.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 5.23.2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.33.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolfsburg (W) 4–2–0 Werder Bremen (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/08/26
Women’s Friendly
Werder Bremen (W)1-3
HT 0-0
Wolfsburg (W)
22/04/26
Germany Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Wolfsburg (W)
24/09/25
Germany Bundesliga Women
Wolfsburg (W)4-2
HT 1-0
Werder Bremen (W)
14/12/24
Germany Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen (W)1-3
HT 1-2
Wolfsburg (W)
02/09/24
Germany Bundesliga Women
Wolfsburg (W)3-3
HT 1-2
Werder Bremen (W)
12/05/24
Germany Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen (W)0-3
HT 0-1
Wolfsburg (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Wolfsburg (W) 2200 1036
2 Bayern Munich (W) 2200 616
3 Werder Bremen (W) 2200 416
4 Bayer Leverkusen (W) 3201 536
5 VfB Stuttgart (W) 2200 426
6 Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 2110 314
7 Freiburg (W) 2110 214
8 FC Cologne (W) 2101 123
9 Hamburger SV (W) 2011 231
10 Nurnberg (W) 2011 391
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 3003 250
12 Mainz (W) 2002 140
13 Union Berlin (W) 2002 150
14 RB Leipzig (W) 2002 040

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWolfsburg (W)Werder Bremen (W)
Bayer Leverkusen (W) 2-1 W 3-1 W
RB Leipzig (W) 3-2 W 2-0 W
Union Berlin (W) 3-3 D 1-4 L
Carl Zeiss Jena (W) 2-0 W 7-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Werder Bremen (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wolfsburg (W)

WWDDLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 1-0 2-1 71 W
22/08 Nurnberg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 0-2 8-2 –– W
17/05 Nurnberg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 2-0 3-1 92 W
09/05 Freiburg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 2-1 4-2 42 W
02/05 RB Leipzig (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 0-1 3-2 42 W
26/04 Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 0-2 1-3 34 L
22/04 Werder Bremen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 0-0 0-0 55 D
29/03 Union Berlin (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 1-1 3-3 46 D
21/03 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 0-0 1-0 72 W
18/03 Carl Zeiss Jena (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 2-0 2-0 43 W

Werder Bremen (W)

LWDDLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 RB Leipzig (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 2-0 2-0 113 W
24/08 Mainz (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 2-1 2-1 46 W
17/05 Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 1-0 3-1 23 W
10/05 Carl Zeiss Jena (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 4-0 7-0 61 W
02/05 FC Cologne (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 0-2 0-3 55 L
29/04 Bayern Munich (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 0-0 0-2 44 L
25/04 RB Leipzig (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 0-1 1-1 75 D
22/04 Wolfsburg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 0-0 0-0 15 D
29/03 SGS Essen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 0-0 2-1 104 W
23/03 Union Berlin (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
 0-3 1-4 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wolfsburg (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolfsburg (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Wolfsburg (W) 64%, draw 20%, Werder Bremen (W) 16%.

How many goals are expected in Wolfsburg (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Wolfsburg (W) 2.4 · Werder Bremen (W) 1.18), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wolfsburg (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.