Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 07/09, 18:00

Prediction: Union Berlin (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Team pages: Union Berlin (W) · Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

Union Berlin (W)1.19

Eintracht Frankfurt (W)2.36

1X2

17% 21% 62%

Union Berlin (W) Draw Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Union Berlin (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWLLLL

Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWWD

Head-to-head

Union Berlin (W) 0–1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt (W) (3 last)

Eintracht Frankfurt (W)4-2Union Berlin (W)
Union Berlin (W)2-2Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Union Berlin (W)0-2Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Berlin (W) 1458 · Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 1602

	Union Berlin (W)	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Our model	17%	20%	63%
Market	16%	22%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eintracht Frankfurt (W) (rating 1458 vs 1602).
H2H favours Eintracht Frankfurt (W): 2-1-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union Berlin (W)	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	2.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.6	2.4 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.10

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.02

2 (-1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 5.50▲	Bet365 5.50
X	4.00 → 4.10▲	Pinn 4.48 ★
2	1.55 → 1.45▼	Pinn 1.49

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:55 +5’	4.50	4.00	1.55
07:53 +17’	5.50▲	4.10▲	1.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:21 +1’	5.11	4.48	1.49

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Berlin (W) 0–1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	4-2 HT 2-2	Union Berlin (W)
15/12/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Union Berlin (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
22/11/24 Germany DFB Pokal Women	Union Berlin (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wolfsburg (W)	2	2	0	0	10	3	6
2	Bayern Munich (W)	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
3	Werder Bremen (W)	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
4	Bayer Leverkusen (W)	3	2	0	1	5	3	6
5	VfB Stuttgart (W)	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
6	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
7	Freiburg (W)	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
8	FC Cologne (W)	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
9	Hamburger SV (W)	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
10	Nurnberg (W)	2	0	1	1	3	9	1
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)	3	0	0	3	2	5	0
12	Mainz (W)	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
13	Union Berlin (W)	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
14	RB Leipzig (W)	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union Berlin (W)	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Bayern Munich (W)	1-4 L	0-2 L
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)	0-2 L	2-0 W
Hamburger SV (W)	1-0 W	4-1 W
Wolfsburg (W)	3-3 D	3-1 W
Werder Bremen (W)	4-1 W	2-4 L
FC Cologne (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Eintracht Frankfurt (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Berlin (W)

WDWDLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
21/08	Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
17/05	Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-2	2-4	2	3	L
10/05	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
01/05	Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
22/04	Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
29/03	Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-1	3-3	3	6	D
23/03	Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	3-0	4-1	3	6	W
14/03	RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-2	2-2	3	1	D
20/02	FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-1	6	8	W

Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

LWWWWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
22/08	FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/05	Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-2	4-2	11	3	W
09/05	Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
04/05	Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-1	4-1	8	2	W
26/04	Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
28/03	FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	2-1	3	1	W
21/03	Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	4-1	6	3	W
18/03	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-0	10	4	W
14/03	Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-2	2-4	10	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Berlin (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Eintracht Frankfurt (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Union Berlin (W) 17%, draw 21%, Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 62%.

How many goals are expected in Union Berlin (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Union Berlin (W) 1.19 · Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 2.36), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Berlin (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.