Prediction: Freiburg (W) vs Union Berlin (W)
Team pages: Freiburg (W) · Union Berlin (W)
- Freiburg (W)1-1Union Berlin (W)
- Union Berlin (W)0-3Freiburg (W)
| Freiburg (W) | Draw | Union Berlin (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Freiburg (W) (rating 1524 vs 1452).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Freiburg (W) | Union Berlin (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 1.8 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Freiburg (W) 1–1–0 Union Berlin (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | Freiburg (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Union Berlin (W) |
| 05/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Union Berlin (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Freiburg (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolfsburg (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Hamburger SV (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Freiburg (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Mainz (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Cologne (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | RB Leipzig (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Union Berlin (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Nurnberg (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Freiburg (W) | Union Berlin (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Wolfsburg (W) | 2-4 L | 3-3 D |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| RB Leipzig (W) | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 0-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Berlin (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Freiburg (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | SGS Essen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 13/03 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/02 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/02 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Union Berlin (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/03 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/03 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/02 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 14/02 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Freiburg (W) vs Union Berlin (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Freiburg (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Freiburg (W) 39%, draw 25%, Union Berlin (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Freiburg (W) vs Union Berlin (W)?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Freiburg (W) 1.73 · Union Berlin (W) 1.66), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Freiburg (W) vs Union Berlin (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.