Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 30/08, 16:00
Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Wolfsburg (W)
Team pages: Bayer Leverkusen (W) · Wolfsburg (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
Bayer Leverkusen (W)1.72
Wolfsburg (W)1.91
1X2
Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Draw
Wolfsburg (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Bayer Leverkusen (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Wolfsburg (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bayer Leverkusen (W)
1–1–4
Wolfsburg (W)
(6 last)
- Wolfsburg (W)2-1Bayer Leverkusen (W)
- Bayer Leverkusen (W)1-5Wolfsburg (W)
- Wolfsburg (W)3-1Bayer Leverkusen (W)
- Bayer Leverkusen (W)1-0Wolfsburg (W)
- Bayer Leverkusen (W)1-1Wolfsburg (W)
- Wolfsburg (W)3-0Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayer Leverkusen (W) 1575 · Wolfsburg (W) 1602
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) | Draw | Wolfsburg (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 23% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Wolfsburg (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) | Wolfsburg (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 2.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5.6 / 8.8 | 1.7 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayer Leverkusen (W) 1–1–4 Wolfsburg (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | Wolfsburg (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) |
| 19/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Wolfsburg (W) |
| 11/05/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Wolfsburg (W) | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) |
| 06/12/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wolfsburg (W) |
| 04/02/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Wolfsburg (W) |
| 17/09/23 Germany Bundesliga Women | Wolfsburg (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolfsburg (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Hamburger SV (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Freiburg (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Mainz (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Cologne (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | RB Leipzig (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Union Berlin (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Nurnberg (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | Wolfsburg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig (W) | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Werder Bremen (W) | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Freiburg (W) | 4-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Carl Zeiss Jena (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Wolfsburg (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayer Leverkusen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 18 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | SGS Essen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/03 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/02 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/02 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Wolfsburg (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 8-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/03 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 21/03 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/03 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Wolfsburg (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Wolfsburg (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen (W) 34%, draw 25%, Wolfsburg (W) 41%.
How many goals are expected in Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Wolfsburg (W)?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Bayer Leverkusen (W) 1.72 · Wolfsburg (W) 1.91), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Wolfsburg (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.