Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 12/09, 12:00
Prediction: RB Leipzig (W) vs Nurnberg (W)
Team pages: RB Leipzig (W) · Nurnberg (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
RB Leipzig (W)1.84
Nurnberg (W)1.19
1X2
RB Leipzig (W)
Draw
Nurnberg (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
RB Leipzig (W)
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Nurnberg (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
RB Leipzig (W)
4–2–0
Nurnberg (W)
(6 last)
- RB Leipzig (W)3-1Nurnberg (W)
- Nurnberg (W)1-1RB Leipzig (W)
- Nurnberg (W)0-1RB Leipzig (W)
- RB Leipzig (W)0-0Nurnberg (W)
- Nurnberg (W)1-2RB Leipzig (W)
- RB Leipzig (W)1-0Nurnberg (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RB Leipzig (W) 1452 · Nurnberg (W) 1424
| RB Leipzig (W) | Draw | Nurnberg (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours RB Leipzig (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RB Leipzig (W) | Nurnberg (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RB Leipzig (W) 4–2–0 Nurnberg (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | RB Leipzig (W) | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Nurnberg (W) |
| 05/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Nurnberg (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | RB Leipzig (W) |
| 06/05/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Nurnberg (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | RB Leipzig (W) |
| 08/12/23 Germany Bundesliga Women | RB Leipzig (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nurnberg (W) |
| 05/03/23 Germany Bundesliga II Women | Nurnberg (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | RB Leipzig (W) |
| 18/09/22 Germany Bundesliga II Women | RB Leipzig (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nurnberg (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolfsburg (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Cologne (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Freiburg (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV (W) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 10 | Nurnberg (W) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
| 11 | RB Leipzig (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | Union Berlin (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 | Mainz (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RB Leipzig (W) | Nurnberg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Wolfsburg (W) | 2-3 L | 2-8 L |
| Freiburg (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: RB Leipzig (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RB Leipzig (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/05 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/03 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 22/03 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/03 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
Nurnberg (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | SGS Essen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 13/03 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RB Leipzig (W) vs Nurnberg (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RB Leipzig (W) win (52%). Probabilities: RB Leipzig (W) 52%, draw 24%, Nurnberg (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in RB Leipzig (W) vs Nurnberg (W)?
The model expects 3.03 goals (RB Leipzig (W) 1.84 · Nurnberg (W) 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig (W) vs Nurnberg (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.