Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 06/11, 18:30
Prediction: Bayern Munich (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)
Team pages: Bayern Munich (W) · Werder Bremen (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.67Total
Bayern Munich (W)2.83
Werder Bremen (W)0.83
1X2
Bayern Munich (W)
Draw
Werder Bremen (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Bayern Munich (W)
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Werder Bremen (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bayern Munich (W)
6–0
Werder Bremen (W)
(6 last)
- Werder Bremen (W)0-2Bayern Munich (W)
- Bayern Munich (W)4-0Werder Bremen (W)
- Bayern Munich (W)4-2Werder Bremen (W)
- Bayern Munich (W)1-0Werder Bremen (W)
- Werder Bremen (W)0-4Bayern Munich (W)
- Bayern Munich (W)3-0Werder Bremen (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayern Munich (W) 1660 · Werder Bremen (W) 1557
| Bayern Munich (W) | Draw | Werder Bremen (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 84% | 10% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.67 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayern Munich (W) (rating 1660 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Bayern Munich (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bayern Munich (W) | Werder Bremen (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 0.7 | 2.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 90/10/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6.3 | 3.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayern Munich (W) 6–0–0 Werder Bremen (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Bayern Munich (W) |
| 04/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayern Munich (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 01/05/25 Germany DFB Pokal Women | Bayern Munich (W) | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 16/02/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayern Munich (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 29/09/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Bayern Munich (W) |
| 22/04/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayern Munich (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Werder Bremen (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich (W) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg (W) | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Cologne (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 10 |
| 8 | Union Berlin (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 10 |
| 9 | Freiburg (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 8 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 6 |
| 13 | Nurnberg (W) | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 5 |
| 14 | Mainz (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bayern Munich (W) | Werder Bremen (W) |
|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig (W) | 5-1 W | 2-0 W |
| VfB Stuttgart (W) | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Freiburg (W) | 4-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Mainz (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Hamburger SV (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bayern Munich (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayern Munich (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/10 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 03/10 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/08 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
Werder Bremen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 4-3 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 02/10 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/09 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayern Munich (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bayern Munich (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Bayern Munich (W) 81%, draw 12%, Werder Bremen (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Bayern Munich (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Bayern Munich (W) 2.83 · Werder Bremen (W) 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Bayern Munich (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.