Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 15/11, 16:00

Prediction: RB Leipzig (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Team pages: RB Leipzig (W) · Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

RB Leipzig (W)1.03

Eintracht Frankfurt (W)2.12

1X2

17% 21% 62%

RB Leipzig (W) Draw Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

RB Leipzig (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

RB Leipzig (W) 1–1–4 Eintracht Frankfurt (W) (6 last)

RB Leipzig (W)2-2Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Eintracht Frankfurt (W)4-3RB Leipzig (W)
RB Leipzig (W)0-2Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Eintracht Frankfurt (W)3-0RB Leipzig (W)
RB Leipzig (W)2-1Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Eintracht Frankfurt (W)3-1RB Leipzig (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RB Leipzig (W) 1488 · Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 1599

	RB Leipzig (W)	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Our model	16%	22%	62%
Market	17%	21%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eintracht Frankfurt (W) (rating 1488 vs 1599).
H2H favours Eintracht Frankfurt (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RB Leipzig (W)	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.7	4.3 / 8.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.4	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.33

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:49 +18’	5.25	4.33	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RB Leipzig (W) 1–1–4 Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	RB Leipzig (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
22/09/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	4-3 HT 3-2	RB Leipzig (W)
11/05/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	RB Leipzig (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
09/12/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	RB Leipzig (W)
16/02/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	RB Leipzig (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
07/10/23 Germany Bundesliga Women	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	3-1 HT 0-1	RB Leipzig (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich (W)	9	9	0	0	32	8	27
2	Wolfsburg (W)	9	8	0	1	29	9	24
3	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	9	5	2	2	16	10	17
4	Werder Bremen (W)	9	5	1	3	18	14	16
5	Bayer Leverkusen (W)	9	5	1	3	15	12	16
6	FC Cologne (W)	9	5	0	4	16	13	15
7	Union Berlin (W)	9	3	2	4	15	17	11
8	VfB Stuttgart (W)	9	3	2	4	11	21	11
9	RB Leipzig (W)	9	3	1	5	15	17	10
10	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)	9	3	1	5	12	16	10
11	Freiburg (W)	9	3	1	5	11	18	10
12	Nurnberg (W)	9	2	2	5	16	23	8
13	Hamburger SV (W)	9	1	3	5	14	17	6
14	Mainz (W)	9	0	0	9	5	30	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RB Leipzig (W)	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
FC Cologne (W)	1-3 L	2-0 W
Bayern Munich (W)	1-5 L	0-1 L
Mainz (W)	5-0 W	3-2 W
Union Berlin (W)	2-3 L	1-0 W
Nurnberg (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Bayer Leverkusen (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)	0-0 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Eintracht Frankfurt (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RB Leipzig (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/11	FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-2	1-3	6	2	L
23/10	Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-2	1-5	4	4	L
16/10	Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-0	3-0	10	2	W
03/10	Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-0	5-0	1	6	W
20/09	Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	2-3	8	3	L
12/09	Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
05/09	Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-1	1-1	9	6	D
30/08	Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-2	0-2	1	3	L
23/08	Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
17/05	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
24/10	VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-0	3-0	9	2	W
17/10	Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
03/10	Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
18/09	Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-2	3-2	13	4	W
13/09	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	4-2	12	5	W
07/09	Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
30/08	Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
22/08	FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/05	Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-2	4-2	11	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RB Leipzig (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Eintracht Frankfurt (W) win (62%). Probabilities: RB Leipzig (W) 17%, draw 21%, Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 62%.

How many goals are expected in RB Leipzig (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)?

The model expects 3.15 goals (RB Leipzig (W) 1.03 · Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 2.12), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.