Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 14/11, 17:55

Prediction: Wolfsburg (W) vs Bayern Munich (W)

Team pages: Wolfsburg (W) · Bayern Munich (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

Wolfsburg (W)1.65

Bayern Munich (W)2.26

1X2

27% 23% 50%

Wolfsburg (W) Draw Bayern Munich (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Wolfsburg (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWW

Bayern Munich (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Wolfsburg (W) 0–6 Bayern Munich (W) (6 last)

Bayern Munich (W)3-0Wolfsburg (W)
Wolfsburg (W)0-4Bayern Munich (W)
Bayern Munich (W)4-1Wolfsburg (W)
Wolfsburg (W)1-3Bayern Munich (W)
Bayern Munich (W)4-2Wolfsburg (W)
Bayern Munich (W)3-1Wolfsburg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wolfsburg (W) 1663 · Bayern Munich (W) 1692

	Wolfsburg (W)	Draw	Bayern Munich (W)
Our model	27%	22%	51%
Market	26%	24%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bayern Munich (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wolfsburg (W)	Bayern Munich (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1	3.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7.8	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.80

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:49 +15’	3.40	3.80	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolfsburg (W) 0–0–6 Bayern Munich (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Germany Super Cup Women	Bayern Munich (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Wolfsburg (W)
14/05/26 Germany DFB Pokal Women	Wolfsburg (W)	0-4 HT 0-1	Bayern Munich (W)
22/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	Bayern Munich (W)	4-1 HT 0-1	Wolfsburg (W)
11/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Wolfsburg (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Bayern Munich (W)
30/08/25 Germany Super Cup Women	Bayern Munich (W)	4-2 HT 2-0	Wolfsburg (W)
14/03/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Bayern Munich (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Wolfsburg (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich (W)	9	9	0	0	32	8	27
2	Wolfsburg (W)	9	8	0	1	29	9	24
3	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	9	5	2	2	16	10	17
4	Werder Bremen (W)	9	5	1	3	18	14	16
5	Bayer Leverkusen (W)	9	5	1	3	15	12	16
6	FC Cologne (W)	9	5	0	4	16	13	15
7	Union Berlin (W)	9	3	2	4	15	17	11
8	VfB Stuttgart (W)	9	3	2	4	11	21	11
9	RB Leipzig (W)	9	3	1	5	15	17	10
10	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)	9	3	1	5	12	16	10
11	Freiburg (W)	9	3	1	5	11	18	10
12	Nurnberg (W)	9	2	2	5	16	23	8
13	Hamburger SV (W)	9	1	3	5	14	17	6
14	Mainz (W)	9	0	0	9	5	30	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wolfsburg (W)	Bayern Munich (W)
Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	3-1 W	1-0 W
FC Cologne (W)	3-0 W	5-2 W
Mainz (W)	5-0 W	2-0 W
Hamburger SV (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
VfB Stuttgart (W)	2-0 W	5-0 W
Werder Bremen (W)	3-2 W	3-1 W
Bayer Leverkusen (W)	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 0 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wolfsburg (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
24/10	FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	3-0	10	7	W
18/10	Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	5-0	3	3	W
04/10	Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-1	17	3	W
18/09	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	1-2	12	3	L
13/09	VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
06/09	Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	3-2	4	3	W
30/08	Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
22/08	Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-2	8-2	–	–	W
17/05	Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	3-1	9	2	W

Bayern Munich (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
23/10	RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	5-1	6	4	W
19/10	VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	5-0	7	0	W
03/10	Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
19/09	FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	3-1	5-2	2	3	W
14/09	Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	3-2	5	4	W
06/09	Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	4-1	4	5	W
31/08	Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-0	8	0	W
21/08	Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
17/05	Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-0	1-0	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wolfsburg (W) vs Bayern Munich (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bayern Munich (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Wolfsburg (W) 27%, draw 23%, Bayern Munich (W) 50%.

How many goals are expected in Wolfsburg (W) vs Bayern Munich (W)?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Wolfsburg (W) 1.65 · Bayern Munich (W) 2.26), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wolfsburg (W) vs Bayern Munich (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.