Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 14/11, 14:00
Prediction: Werder Bremen (W) vs Union Berlin (W)
Team pages: Werder Bremen (W) · Union Berlin (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
Werder Bremen (W)2.05
Union Berlin (W)1.6
1X2
Werder Bremen (W)
Draw
Union Berlin (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Werder Bremen (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Union Berlin (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Werder Bremen (W)
3–1
Union Berlin (W)
(4 last)
- Union Berlin (W)4-1Werder Bremen (W)
- Werder Bremen (W)3-0Union Berlin (W)
- Werder Bremen (W)7-0Union Berlin (W)
- Union Berlin (W)2-5Werder Bremen (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Werder Bremen (W) 1542 · Union Berlin (W) 1515
| Werder Bremen (W) | Draw | Union Berlin (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Werder Bremen (W): 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Werder Bremen (W) | Union Berlin (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Werder Bremen (W) 3–0–1 Union Berlin (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | Union Berlin (W) | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 01/11/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Union Berlin (W) |
| 30/04/17 Germany Bundesliga II Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 7-0 | Union Berlin (W) |
| 12/11/16 Germany Bundesliga II Women | Union Berlin (W) | 2-5 | Werder Bremen (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich (W) | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg (W) | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 16 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | FC Cologne (W) | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 15 |
| 7 | Union Berlin (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
| 10 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 11 | Freiburg (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 10 |
| 12 | Nurnberg (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV (W) | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 6 |
| 14 | Mainz (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Werder Bremen (W) | Union Berlin (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich (W) | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Freiburg (W) | 4-3 W | 0-1 L |
| VfB Stuttgart (W) | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Hamburger SV (W) | 1-0 W | 4-4 D |
| RB Leipzig (W) | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Werder Bremen (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Werder Bremen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 29/10 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 4-3 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 02/10 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/09 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Union Berlin (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/10 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 18/10 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/10 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 21/08 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Werder Bremen (W) vs Union Berlin (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Werder Bremen (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Werder Bremen (W) 47%, draw 24%, Union Berlin (W) 29%.
How many goals are expected in Werder Bremen (W) vs Union Berlin (W)?
The model expects 3.65 goals (Werder Bremen (W) 2.05 · Union Berlin (W) 1.6), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Werder Bremen (W) vs Union Berlin (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.