Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 31/10, 18:00
Prediction: US Mondorf-Les-Bains vs US Hostert
Team pages: US Mondorf-Les-Bains · US Hostert
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
US Mondorf-Les-Bains2.34
US Hostert0.99
1X2
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
Draw
US Hostert
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
US Hostert
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
4–2
US Hostert
(6 last)
- US Mondorf-Les-Bains4-0US Hostert
- US Hostert2-1US Mondorf-Les-Bains
- US Hostert2-1US Mondorf-Les-Bains
- US Mondorf-Les-Bains3-1US Hostert
- US Hostert1-2US Mondorf-Les-Bains
- US Hostert2-5US Mondorf-Les-Bains
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · US Mondorf-Les-Bains 1543 · US Hostert 1469
| US Mondorf-Les-Bains | Draw | US Hostert | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 20% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 20% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Mondorf-Les-Bains (rating 1543 vs 1469).
- H2H favours US Mondorf-Les-Bains: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| US Mondorf-Les-Bains | US Hostert | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.2 | 0 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · US Mondorf-Les-Bains 4–0–2 US Hostert
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 4-0 HT 2-0 | US Hostert |
| 02/11/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Hostert | 2-1 HT 0-0 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
| 19/04/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Hostert | 2-1 HT 0-0 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
| 27/10/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 3-1 HT 2-1 | US Hostert |
| 24/04/24 Luxembourg Cup | US Hostert | 1-2 HT 1-1 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
| 21/05/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Hostert | 2-5 HT 0-3 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 31 |
| 2 | FC 03 Differdange | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 30 |
| 3 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 24 |
| 4 | Union Luxembourg | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Bissen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | UN Kaerjeng | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 21 |
| 7 | Progres Niedercorn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Residence Walferdange | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 16 |
| 9 | F91 Dudelange | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 13 |
| 10 | Jeunesse Esch | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 13 |
| 11 | Victoria Rosport | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 11 |
| 12 | US Hostert | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 8 |
| 14 | Rumelange | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 8 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 5 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 41 | -12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | US Hostert |
|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Bissen | 2-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Progres Niedercorn | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Jeunesse Esch | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| F91 Dudelange | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Victoria Rosport | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: US Mondorf-Les-Bains (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 16/09 | Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
US Hostert
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/09 | Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in US Mondorf-Les-Bains vs US Hostert?
According to our model, the most likely result is a US Mondorf-Les-Bains win (67%). Probabilities: US Mondorf-Les-Bains 67%, draw 20%, US Hostert 14%.
How many goals are expected in US Mondorf-Les-Bains vs US Hostert?
The model expects 3.34 goals (US Mondorf-Les-Bains 2.34 · US Hostert 0.99), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in US Mondorf-Les-Bains vs US Hostert?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.