Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport

Team pages: F91 Dudelange · Victoria Rosport

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

F91 Dudelange2.12

Victoria Rosport1.19

1X2

58% 22% 20%

F91 Dudelange Draw Victoria Rosport

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

F91 Dudelange 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDLWWL

Victoria Rosport 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLDWLW

Head-to-head

F91 Dudelange 4–1–1 Victoria Rosport (6 last)

F91 Dudelange1-2Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport0-0F91 Dudelange
Victoria Rosport0-3F91 Dudelange
F91 Dudelange3-0Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport1-2F91 Dudelange
F91 Dudelange3-0Victoria Rosport

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · F91 Dudelange 1481 · Victoria Rosport 1488

	F91 Dudelange	Draw	Victoria Rosport
Our model	58%	22%	20%
Market	58%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours F91 Dudelange: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	F91 Dudelange	Victoria Rosport
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	2.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/0/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.6	1.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.3 / 0.7	5.3 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.20

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.53▼	Bet365 1.53
X	3.90 → 4.20▲	Pinn 4.44
2	4.00 → 4.33▲	Pinn 4.91 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +4’	1.65	3.90	4.00
15:34 +7’	1.53▼	4.20▲	4.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:30 +71’	1.53	4.40	4.92
17:00 +43’	1.53▲	4.39▼	4.90▼
22:08 +9’	1.53▼	4.41▲	4.91▲
12:17 +22’	1.52▼	4.44▲	4.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · F91 Dudelange 4–1–1 Victoria Rosport

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale	F91 Dudelange	1-2 HT 1-0	Victoria Rosport
03/12/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Victoria Rosport	0-0 HT 0-0	F91 Dudelange
09/02/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Victoria Rosport	0-3 HT 0-1	F91 Dudelange
11/08/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale	F91 Dudelange	3-0 HT 1-0	Victoria Rosport
12/05/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Victoria Rosport	1-2 HT 0-1	F91 Dudelange
03/12/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale	F91 Dudelange	3-0 HT 1-0	Victoria Rosport

Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	11	10	1	0	22	3	31
2	FC 03 Differdange	11	10	0	1	32	9	30
3	US Mondorf-Les-Bains	11	8	0	3	22	19	24
4	Union Luxembourg	11	6	4	1	30	11	22
5	Bissen	11	7	1	3	27	15	22
6	UN Kaerjeng	11	7	0	4	30	19	21
7	Progres Niedercorn	11	6	1	4	16	9	19
8	Residence Walferdange	11	5	1	5	20	23	16
9	F91 Dudelange	11	4	1	6	17	18	13
10	Jeunesse Esch	11	4	1	6	19	21	13
11	Victoria Rosport	11	3	2	6	21	26	11
12	US Hostert	11	3	2	6	15	20	11
13	FC Etzella Ettelbruck	11	2	2	7	9	19	8
14	Rumelange	11	2	2	7	15	31	8
15	Wiltz	11	1	2	8	18	31	5
16	Swift Hesperange	11	0	0	11	2	41	-12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	F91 Dudelange	Victoria Rosport
FC 03 Differdange	1-2 L	3-5 L
Swift Hesperange	5-0 W	3-0 W
FC Etzella Ettelbruck	3-1 W	1-1 D
UN Kaerjeng	2-4 L	0-5 L
US Hostert	0-0 D	0-2 L
Union Luxembourg	1-3 L	2-2 D
Wiltz	2-1 W	4-0 W
Rumelange	3-2 W	2-3 L
US Mondorf-Les-Bains	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: F91 Dudelange (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

F91 Dudelange

LLWWLDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-2	2	15	L
18/10	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	5-0	4	3	W
11/10	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-1	3-1	4	9	W
16/09	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-2	2-4	6	5	L
12/09	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
06/09	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-3	7	7	L
30/08	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-1	6	9	W
23/08	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
16/08	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Victoria Rosport

LLWDLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	3-1	4-1	–	–	W
18/10	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-2	3-5	3	7	L
11/10	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
16/09	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-1	6	11	D
11/09	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-4	0-5	0	5	L
05/09	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-2	0-2	9	8	L
30/08	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-2	2-2	6	3	D
23/08	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
16/08	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
09/08	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-2	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport?

According to our model, the most likely result is a F91 Dudelange win (58%). Probabilities: F91 Dudelange 58%, draw 22%, Victoria Rosport 20%.

How many goals are expected in F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport?

The model expects 3.31 goals (F91 Dudelange 2.12 · Victoria Rosport 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.