Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 31/10, 18:00
Prediction: Bissen vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck
Team pages: Bissen · FC Etzella Ettelbruck
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Bissen2.42
FC Etzella Ettelbruck0.92
1X2
Bissen
Draw
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Bissen
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bissen
1–3
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
(4 last)
- Bissen3-1FC Etzella Ettelbruck
- FC Etzella Ettelbruck2-0Bissen
- FC Etzella Ettelbruck5-0Bissen
- Bissen0-5FC Etzella Ettelbruck
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bissen 1552 · FC Etzella Ettelbruck 1442
| Bissen | Draw | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 19% | 12% |
| Market | 70% | 18% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bissen (rating 1552 vs 1442).
- H2H favours FC Etzella Ettelbruck: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 13 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bissen | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/0/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.6 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.6 | 7 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bissen 1–0–3 FC Etzella Ettelbruck
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/25 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | Bissen | 3-1 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck |
| 08/12/24 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 2-0 | Bissen |
| 14/05/17 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 5-0 | Bissen |
| 05/12/16 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | Bissen | 0-5 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck |
Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 31 |
| 2 | FC 03 Differdange | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 30 |
| 3 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 24 |
| 4 | Union Luxembourg | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Bissen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | UN Kaerjeng | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 21 |
| 7 | Progres Niedercorn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Residence Walferdange | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 16 |
| 9 | F91 Dudelange | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 13 |
| 10 | Jeunesse Esch | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 13 |
| 11 | Victoria Rosport | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 11 |
| 12 | US Hostert | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 8 |
| 14 | Rumelange | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 8 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 5 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 41 | -12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bissen | FC Etzella Ettelbruck |
|---|---|---|
| UN Kaerjeng | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| US Hostert | 5-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Union Luxembourg | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Residence Walferdange | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Progres Niedercorn | 0-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Jeunesse Esch | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Bissen (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bissen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 11/10 | Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 16/09 | Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale |
3-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 23/08 | Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 18/10 | Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 16/09 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 11 | D |
| 12/09 | FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bissen vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bissen win (70%). Probabilities: Bissen 70%, draw 18%, FC Etzella Ettelbruck 12%.
How many goals are expected in Bissen vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Bissen 2.42 · FC Etzella Ettelbruck 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bissen vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.