Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: Jeunesse Esch vs FC 03 Differdange

Team pages: Jeunesse Esch · FC 03 Differdange

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Jeunesse Esch1.38

FC 03 Differdange1.81

1X2

28% 25% 47%

Jeunesse Esch Draw FC 03 Differdange

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Jeunesse Esch 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLDLWW

FC 03 Differdange 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Jeunesse Esch 1–1–4 FC 03 Differdange (6 last)

FC 03 Differdange1-1Jeunesse Esch
Jeunesse Esch0-1FC 03 Differdange
Jeunesse Esch0-2FC 03 Differdange
FC 03 Differdange1-0Jeunesse Esch
Jeunesse Esch4-3FC 03 Differdange
FC 03 Differdange3-1Jeunesse Esch

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC 03 Differdange (rating 1496 vs 1616).
H2H favours FC 03 Differdange: 4-1-1.
High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jeunesse Esch	FC 03 Differdange
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	3.7 / 9.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.78

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	8.28 → 8.61▲	Pinn 8.61
X	5.51 → 5.66▲	Pinn 5.66
2	1.27 → 1.28▲	Pinn 1.28

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:33 +58’	8.28	5.51	1.27
16:21 +28’	8.61▲	5.66▲	1.28▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeunesse Esch 1–1–4 FC 03 Differdange

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale	FC 03 Differdange	1-1 HT 1-1	Jeunesse Esch
01/10/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Jeunesse Esch	0-1 HT 0-0	FC 03 Differdange
06/04/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Jeunesse Esch	0-2 HT 0-1	FC 03 Differdange
29/09/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale	FC 03 Differdange	1-0 HT 0-0	Jeunesse Esch
30/03/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Jeunesse Esch	4-3 HT 1-0	FC 03 Differdange
27/09/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale	FC 03 Differdange	3-1 HT 1-1	Jeunesse Esch

Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	11	10	1	0	22	3	31
2	FC 03 Differdange	11	10	0	1	32	9	30
3	US Mondorf-Les-Bains	11	8	0	3	22	19	24
4	Union Luxembourg	11	6	4	1	30	11	22
5	Bissen	11	7	1	3	27	15	22
6	UN Kaerjeng	11	7	0	4	30	19	21
7	Progres Niedercorn	11	6	1	4	16	9	19
8	Residence Walferdange	11	5	1	5	20	23	16
9	F91 Dudelange	11	4	1	6	17	18	13
10	Jeunesse Esch	11	4	1	6	19	21	13
11	Victoria Rosport	11	3	2	6	21	26	11
12	US Hostert	11	3	2	6	15	20	11
13	FC Etzella Ettelbruck	11	2	2	7	9	19	8
14	Rumelange	11	2	2	7	15	31	8
15	Wiltz	11	1	2	8	18	31	5
16	Swift Hesperange	11	0	0	11	2	41	-12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jeunesse Esch	FC 03 Differdange
Swift Hesperange	3-0 W	3-0 W
FC Etzella Ettelbruck	1-0 W	1-0 W
UN Kaerjeng	1-4 L	4-1 W
US Hostert	1-1 D	2-0 W
Union Luxembourg	1-5 L	3-0 W
Wiltz	5-1 W	2-1 W
Rumelange	5-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC 03 Differdange (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jeunesse Esch

LLLWWLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
18/10	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
11/10	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
16/09	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-3	1-5	2	6	L
06/09	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	5-1	5	8	W
30/08	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	3-1	5-2	4	3	W
23/08	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
16/08	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-2	6	0	L

FC 03 Differdange

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-1	10	15	W
18/10	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	5-3	4	7	W
11/10	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	6-0	5	3	W
16/09	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	3-0	20	1	W
12/09	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-0	9	7	W
06/09	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	4-1	6	3	W
30/08	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	2-0	11	2	W
23/08	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeunesse Esch vs FC 03 Differdange?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC 03 Differdange win (47%). Probabilities: Jeunesse Esch 28%, draw 25%, FC 03 Differdange 47%.

How many goals are expected in Jeunesse Esch vs FC 03 Differdange?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Jeunesse Esch 1.38 · FC 03 Differdange 1.81), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Jeunesse Esch vs FC 03 Differdange?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.