Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 02/08, 16:00
Prediction: Residence Walferdange vs US Hostert
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Residence Walferdange1.87
US Hostert1.53
1X2
Residence Walferdange
Draw
US Hostert
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Residence Walferdange
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
US Hostert
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Residence Walferdange
0–2
US Hostert
(2 last)
- US Hostert2-1Residence Walferdange
- Residence Walferdange1-4US Hostert
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Residence Walferdange 1579 · US Hostert 1487
| Residence Walferdange | Draw | US Hostert | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| Market | 46% | 23% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Residence Walferdange (rating 1579 vs 1487).
- H2H favours US Hostert: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Residence Walferdange | US Hostert | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/29/43% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.9 | 3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Residence Walferdange 0–0–2 US Hostert
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/24 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | US Hostert | 2-1 | Residence Walferdange |
| 25/11/23 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | Residence Walferdange | 1-4 HT 1-0 | US Hostert |
Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeunesse Esch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bissen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | F91 Dudelange | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC 03 Differdange | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Progres Niedercorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Victoria Rosport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wiltz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Residence Walferdange | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Swift Hesperange | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UN Kaerjeng | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Hostert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rumelange | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Residence Walferdange | US Hostert |
|---|---|---|
| FC Luxemburg City | 2-4 L | 4-0 W |
| FC Mamer 32 | 6-1 W | 4-2 W |
| US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Residence Walferdange (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Residence Walferdange
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | FC Luxemburg City Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/07 | Lorentzweiler Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 5-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/07 | Jeunesse Esch Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | FC Mamer 32 Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 6-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 26/06 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 01/06 | Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Division Nationale Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | SC Bettembourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FC The Belval Belvaux Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | CS Fola Esch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/04 | FC Schifflange 95 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
US Hostert
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | F91 Dudelange Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/07 | FC Luxemburg City Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale |
3-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Residence Walferdange vs US Hostert?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Residence Walferdange win (45%). Probabilities: Residence Walferdange 45%, draw 23%, US Hostert 31%.
How many goals are expected in Residence Walferdange vs US Hostert?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Residence Walferdange 1.87 · US Hostert 1.53), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Residence Walferdange vs US Hostert?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.