Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 09/08, 16:00
Prediction: Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains
Team pages: Victoria Rosport
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Victoria Rosport1.16
US Mondorf-Les-Bains1.7
1X2
Victoria Rosport
Draw
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Rosport
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Victoria Rosport
3–1–2
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
(6 last)
- Victoria Rosport1-0US Mondorf-Les-Bains
- US Mondorf-Les-Bains4-0Victoria Rosport
- US Mondorf-Les-Bains2-3Victoria Rosport
- Victoria Rosport1-0US Mondorf-Les-Bains
- Victoria Rosport1-1US Mondorf-Les-Bains
- US Mondorf-Les-Bains2-0Victoria Rosport
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victoria Rosport 1425 · US Mondorf-Les-Bains 1536
| Victoria Rosport | Draw | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 24% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Mondorf-Les-Bains (rating 1425 vs 1536).
- H2H favours Victoria Rosport: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Victoria Rosport | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.4 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Victoria Rosport 3–1–2 US Mondorf-Les-Bains
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Victoria Rosport | 1-0 HT 1-0 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
| 30/11/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Victoria Rosport |
| 16/02/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Victoria Rosport |
| 18/08/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Victoria Rosport | 1-0 HT 0-0 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
| 28/04/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Victoria Rosport | 1-1 HT 1-1 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
| 29/11/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Victoria Rosport |
Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Luxembourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | UNA Strassen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bissen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Residence Walferdange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Progres Niedercorn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rumelange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Wiltz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | FC 03 Differdange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Jeunesse Esch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | F91 Dudelange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | UN Kaerjeng | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Victoria Rosport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Victoria Rosport | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| FC 03 Differdange | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| US Hostert | 2-4 L | 4-0 W |
| Swift Hesperange | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| F91 Dudelange | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: US Mondorf-Les-Bains (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victoria Rosport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-4 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Marisca Mersch Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/07 | UN Kaerjeng Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | UNA Strassen Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-3 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/05 | Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Cup |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/07 | Dinamo Tbilisi UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/07 | Dinamo Tbilisi UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Residence Walferdange Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | UT Petange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains?
According to our model, the most likely result is an US Mondorf-Les-Bains win (50%). Probabilities: Victoria Rosport 25%, draw 25%, US Mondorf-Les-Bains 50%.
How many goals are expected in Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Victoria Rosport 1.16 · US Mondorf-Les-Bains 1.7), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.