Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 09/08, 16:00
Prediction: UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert
Team pages: UN Kaerjeng · US Hostert
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
UN Kaerjeng1.7
US Hostert1.57
1X2
UN Kaerjeng
Draw
US Hostert
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
UN Kaerjeng
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
US Hostert
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UN Kaerjeng
2–3–1
US Hostert
(6 last)
- US Hostert0-2UN Kaerjeng
- UN Kaerjeng2-2US Hostert
- US Hostert1-3UN Kaerjeng
- UN Kaerjeng0-3US Hostert
- UN Kaerjeng1-1US Hostert
- UN Kaerjeng0-0US Hostert
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UN Kaerjeng 1529 · US Hostert 1477
| UN Kaerjeng | Draw | US Hostert | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UN Kaerjeng (rating 1529 vs 1477).
- H2H favours UN Kaerjeng: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UN Kaerjeng | US Hostert | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.6 | 3.5 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UN Kaerjeng 2–3–1 US Hostert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Hostert | 0-2 HT 0-1 | UN Kaerjeng |
| 05/10/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale | UN Kaerjeng | 2-2 HT 1-2 | US Hostert |
| 26/07/25 Europe Friendlies | US Hostert | 1-3 HT 0-1 | UN Kaerjeng |
| 28/07/24 Europe Friendlies | UN Kaerjeng | 0-3 HT 0-1 | US Hostert |
| 31/05/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale Play-Offs | UN Kaerjeng | 1-1 HT 0-0 | US Hostert |
| 26/02/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale | UN Kaerjeng | 0-0 HT 0-0 | US Hostert |
Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Luxembourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | UNA Strassen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bissen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Residence Walferdange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Progres Niedercorn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rumelange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Wiltz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | FC 03 Differdange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Jeunesse Esch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | F91 Dudelange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | UN Kaerjeng | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Victoria Rosport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UN Kaerjeng | US Hostert |
|---|---|---|
| Union Luxembourg | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| F91 Dudelange | 2-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Victoria Rosport | 3-2 W | 4-2 W |
| FC Mamer 32 | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: US Hostert (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UN Kaerjeng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | F91 Dudelange Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 15/07 | Victoria Rosport Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Progres Niedercorn Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | FC Rodange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 26/04 | Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
US Hostert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | F91 Dudelange Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/07 | FC Luxemburg City Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale |
3-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UN Kaerjeng win (40%). Probabilities: UN Kaerjeng 40%, draw 25%, US Hostert 34%.
How many goals are expected in UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert?
The model expects 3.27 goals (UN Kaerjeng 1.7 · US Hostert 1.57), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.