Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 09/08, 16:00
Prediction: Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz
Team pages: Wiltz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Swift Hesperange1.43
Wiltz1.35
1X2
Swift Hesperange
Draw
Wiltz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Swift Hesperange
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Wiltz
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Swift Hesperange
4–2–0
Wiltz
(6 last)
- Swift Hesperange3-1Wiltz
- Wiltz0-0Swift Hesperange
- Wiltz4-5Swift Hesperange
- Swift Hesperange1-1Wiltz
- Wiltz0-6Swift Hesperange
- Swift Hesperange4-2Wiltz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Swift Hesperange 1469 · Wiltz 1500
| Swift Hesperange | Draw | Wiltz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Swift Hesperange: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Swift Hesperange | Wiltz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 2.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Swift Hesperange 4–2–0 Wiltz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Swift Hesperange | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Wiltz |
| 29/09/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Wiltz | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Swift Hesperange |
| 03/03/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Wiltz | 4-5 HT 2-2 | Swift Hesperange |
| 03/09/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Swift Hesperange | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Wiltz |
| 07/05/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Wiltz | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Swift Hesperange |
| 04/12/22 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Swift Hesperange | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Wiltz |
Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Luxembourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | UNA Strassen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bissen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Residence Walferdange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Progres Niedercorn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rumelange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Wiltz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | FC 03 Differdange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Jeunesse Esch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | F91 Dudelange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | UN Kaerjeng | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Victoria Rosport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Swift Hesperange
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | UT Petange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | FC Rodange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Wiltz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Eupen Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-9 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Division Nationale Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | FC Luxemburg City Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | FC Schifflange 95 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | FC Berdenia Berbourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | FC Marisca Mersch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Lorentzweiler Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Rumelange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Swift Hesperange win (39%). Probabilities: Swift Hesperange 39%, draw 27%, Wiltz 35%.
How many goals are expected in Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Swift Hesperange 1.43 · Wiltz 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.