Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 09/08, 16:00
Prediction: FC Etzella Ettelbruck vs Union Luxembourg
Team pages: FC Etzella Ettelbruck · Union Luxembourg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.72Total
FC Etzella Ettelbruck1.59
Union Luxembourg2.12
1X2
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
Draw
Union Luxembourg
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Union Luxembourg
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
1–2–3
Union Luxembourg
(6 last)
- Union Luxembourg3-1FC Etzella Ettelbruck
- FC Etzella Ettelbruck2-2Union Luxembourg
- Union Luxembourg2-2FC Etzella Ettelbruck
- FC Etzella Ettelbruck0-1Union Luxembourg
- Union Luxembourg1-2FC Etzella Ettelbruck
- FC Etzella Ettelbruck1-2Union Luxembourg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Etzella Ettelbruck 1491 · Union Luxembourg 1523
| FC Etzella Ettelbruck | Draw | Union Luxembourg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| Market | 29% | 21% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Union Luxembourg: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Etzella Ettelbruck | Union Luxembourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.4 | 2.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/0/33% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 5.7 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Etzella Ettelbruck 1–2–3 Union Luxembourg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Europe Friendlies | Union Luxembourg | 3-1 HT 0-1 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck |
| 09/11/25 Luxembourg Cup | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Union Luxembourg |
| 07/05/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Union Luxembourg | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck |
| 03/12/22 Luxembourg Division Nationale | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Union Luxembourg |
| 16/04/22 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Union Luxembourg | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck |
| 07/11/21 Luxembourg Division Nationale | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Union Luxembourg |
Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Luxembourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | UNA Strassen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bissen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Residence Walferdange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Progres Niedercorn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rumelange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Wiltz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | FC 03 Differdange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Jeunesse Esch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | F91 Dudelange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | UN Kaerjeng | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Victoria Rosport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Union Luxembourg Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | US Feulen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | SC Bettembourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
0-3 | 0-8 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | FC The Belval Belvaux Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | CS Fola Esch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | FC Schifflange 95 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | FC Marisca Mersch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Wiltz Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Union Luxembourg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale |
4-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Metz Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Rodange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 22/04 | FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Etzella Ettelbruck vs Union Luxembourg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Luxembourg win (50%). Probabilities: FC Etzella Ettelbruck 29%, draw 22%, Union Luxembourg 50%.
How many goals are expected in FC Etzella Ettelbruck vs Union Luxembourg?
The model expects 3.72 goals (FC Etzella Ettelbruck 1.59 · Union Luxembourg 2.12), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Etzella Ettelbruck vs Union Luxembourg?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.