Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 09/08, 16:00
Prediction: FC 03 Differdange vs Rumelange
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
FC 03 Differdange2.09
Rumelange0.94
1X2
FC 03 Differdange
Draw
Rumelange
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC 03 Differdange
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Rumelange
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC 03 Differdange
5–1–0
Rumelange
(6 last)
- FC 03 Differdange5-1Rumelange
- Rumelange1-2FC 03 Differdange
- FC 03 Differdange3-2Rumelange
- FC 03 Differdange2-0Rumelange
- Rumelange0-0FC 03 Differdange
- FC 03 Differdange3-0Rumelange
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC 03 Differdange 1534 · Rumelange 1548
| FC 03 Differdange | Draw | Rumelange | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC 03 Differdange: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC 03 Differdange | Rumelange | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 2.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.5 | 0 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC 03 Differdange 5–1–0 Rumelange
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/24 Europe Friendlies | FC 03 Differdange | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Rumelange |
| 07/04/19 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Rumelange | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FC 03 Differdange |
| 30/09/18 Luxembourg Division Nationale | FC 03 Differdange | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Rumelange |
| 23/04/17 Luxembourg Division Nationale | FC 03 Differdange | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rumelange |
| 05/11/16 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Rumelange | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC 03 Differdange |
| 14/05/16 Luxembourg Division Nationale | FC 03 Differdange | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Rumelange |
Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Luxembourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | UNA Strassen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bissen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Residence Walferdange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Progres Niedercorn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rumelange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Wiltz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | FC 03 Differdange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Jeunesse Esch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | F91 Dudelange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | UN Kaerjeng | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Victoria Rosport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC 03 Differdange
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/07 | FC Ilves UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | FC Ilves UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | F91 Dudelange Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | UNA Strassen Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/05 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | FC Rodange Luxembourg Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 18 | 8 | D |
| 08/05 | Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 9 | W |
Rumelange
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | F91 Dudelange Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Koeppchen Wormeldange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FC Mondercange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | FC Alisontia Steinsel Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | FC Luxemburg City Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | FC Berdenia Berbourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Lorentzweiler Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Wiltz Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | US Feulen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC 03 Differdange vs Rumelange?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC 03 Differdange win (63%). Probabilities: FC 03 Differdange 63%, draw 21%, Rumelange 16%.
How many goals are expected in FC 03 Differdange vs Rumelange?
The model expects 3.03 goals (FC 03 Differdange 2.09 · Rumelange 0.94), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC 03 Differdange vs Rumelange?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.