Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 11/10, 16:00

Prediction: Union Luxembourg vs Bissen

Team pages: Union Luxembourg · Bissen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

Union Luxembourg1.75

Bissen1.62

1X2

41% 24% 35%

Union Luxembourg Draw Bissen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Union Luxembourg 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Bissen 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Union Luxembourg 0–2 Bissen (2 last)

Union Luxembourg0-5Bissen
Bissen3-0Union Luxembourg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Luxembourg 1553 · Bissen 1567

	Union Luxembourg	Draw	Bissen
Our model	40%	25%	35%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bissen: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union Luxembourg	Bissen
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.9	2.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.4	2.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.6	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.75

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.28 ★
X	3.70 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.63

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:29 +12’	2.70	3.70	2.10
16:30 +36’	2.20▼	3.75▲	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:04 +63’	2.28	3.65	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Luxembourg 0–0–2 Bissen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Union Luxembourg	0-5 HT 0-3	Bissen
22/11/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Bissen	3-0 HT 1-0	Union Luxembourg

Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	8	8	0	0	17	2	24
2	FC 03 Differdange	8	7	0	1	19	5	21
3	US Mondorf-Les-Bains	8	6	0	2	16	11	18
4	Union Luxembourg	8	5	2	1	21	8	17
5	Progres Niedercorn	8	5	1	2	13	5	16
6	UN Kaerjeng	8	5	0	3	23	15	15
7	Bissen	8	5	0	3	18	11	15
8	Residence Walferdange	8	5	0	3	16	10	15
9	US Hostert	8	3	2	3	14	11	11
10	Jeunesse Esch	8	2	1	5	14	17	7
11	F91 Dudelange	8	2	1	5	8	15	7
12	Rumelange	8	2	0	6	8	23	6
13	Victoria Rosport	8	1	2	5	11	20	5
14	FC Etzella Ettelbruck	8	1	2	5	6	15	5
15	Wiltz	8	1	1	6	14	22	4
16	Swift Hesperange	8	0	0	8	2	30	-12

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union Luxembourg	Bissen
Progres Niedercorn	0-0 D	0-4 L
Jeunesse Esch	5-1 W	2-0 W
F91 Dudelange	3-1 W	2-0 W
FC 03 Differdange	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Union Luxembourg (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Luxembourg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
12/09	Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale	3-0	5-1	7	6	W
06/09	F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	3-1	4	7	W
30/08	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	2-2	4	3	D
23/08	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
16/08	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	5-0	–	–	W
09/08	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
02/08	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	4-1	5-1	–	–	W
23/05	FC Rodange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	6-1	4	4	W
17/05	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Bissen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	3-0	4-2	–	–	W
13/09	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	4-0	6-0	6	2	W
06/09	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-2	7	7	L
30/08	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-2	3	11	L
23/08	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
09/08	Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
04/08	F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
17/05	Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	5-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Luxembourg vs Bissen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Luxembourg win (41%). Probabilities: Union Luxembourg 41%, draw 24%, Bissen 35%.

How many goals are expected in Union Luxembourg vs Bissen?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Union Luxembourg 1.75 · Bissen 1.62), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Luxembourg vs Bissen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.