Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 01/08, 18:00
Prediction: Wiltz vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Wiltz1.67
FC Etzella Ettelbruck1.44
1X2
Wiltz
Draw
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wiltz
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wiltz
3–1–2
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
(6 last)
- Wiltz2-0FC Etzella Ettelbruck
- FC Etzella Ettelbruck0-0Wiltz
- Wiltz3-0FC Etzella Ettelbruck
- FC Etzella Ettelbruck1-2Wiltz
- Wiltz1-2FC Etzella Ettelbruck
- FC Etzella Ettelbruck3-1Wiltz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wiltz 1503 · FC Etzella Ettelbruck 1498
| Wiltz | Draw | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Wiltz: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wiltz | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.7 | 2 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4 | 5 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wiltz 3–1–2 FC Etzella Ettelbruck
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | Wiltz | 2-0 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck |
| 19/10/25 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 0-0 | Wiltz |
| 08/04/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Wiltz | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck |
| 23/10/22 Luxembourg Division Nationale | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Wiltz |
| 12/03/22 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Wiltz | 1-2 HT 0-2 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck |
| 22/09/21 Luxembourg Division Nationale | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Wiltz |
Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeunesse Esch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bissen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | F91 Dudelange | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC 03 Differdange | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Progres Niedercorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Victoria Rosport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wiltz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Residence Walferdange | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Swift Hesperange | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UN Kaerjeng | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Hostert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rumelange | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wiltz | FC Etzella Ettelbruck |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schifflange 95 | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Marisca Mersch | 7-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Residence Walferdange | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Wiltz (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wiltz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Eupen Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-9 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Division Nationale Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | FC Luxemburg City Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | FC Schifflange 95 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | FC Berdenia Berbourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | FC Marisca Mersch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Lorentzweiler Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Rumelange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
FC Etzella Ettelbruck
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Union Luxembourg Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | US Feulen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | SC Bettembourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
0-3 | 0-8 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | FC The Belval Belvaux Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | CS Fola Esch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | FC Schifflange 95 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | FC Marisca Mersch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Wiltz Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | Koeppchen Wormeldange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wiltz vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wiltz win (42%). Probabilities: Wiltz 42%, draw 25%, FC Etzella Ettelbruck 32%.
How many goals are expected in Wiltz vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Wiltz 1.67 · FC Etzella Ettelbruck 1.44), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wiltz vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.