Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 28/08, 18:30
Prediction: FC Cologne (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Team pages: FC Cologne (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
FC Cologne (W)1.38
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)1.4
1X2
FC Cologne (W)
Draw
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Cologne (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Cologne (W)
1–1–4
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
(6 last)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)6-2FC Cologne (W)
- FC Cologne (W)1-0TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)5-1FC Cologne (W)
- FC Cologne (W)0-3TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)1-1FC Cologne (W)
- FC Cologne (W)1-2TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Cologne (W) 1511 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 1541
| FC Cologne (W) | Draw | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Cologne (W) | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.8 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Cologne (W) 1–1–4 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 6-2 HT 4-1 | FC Cologne (W) |
| 09/11/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | FC Cologne (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) |
| 15/03/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 5-1 HT 3-1 | FC Cologne (W) |
| 13/10/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | FC Cologne (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) |
| 15/04/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Cologne (W) |
| 13/11/23 Germany Bundesliga Women | FC Cologne (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolfsburg (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Hamburger SV (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Freiburg (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Mainz (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Cologne (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | RB Leipzig (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Union Berlin (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Nurnberg (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Cologne (W) | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Bayern Munich (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Union Berlin (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Cologne (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/04 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-4 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/03 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 20/02 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 13/02 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/04 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
4-1 | 6-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/03 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | SGS Essen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Cologne (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) win (37%). Probabilities: FC Cologne (W) 36%, draw 27%, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 37%.
How many goals are expected in FC Cologne (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)?
The model expects 2.78 goals (FC Cologne (W) 1.38 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Cologne (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.