Football · Portugal Liga 3 · 15/08, 18:00

Prediction: Louletano DC vs CF Os Belenenses

Team pages: Louletano DC · CF Os Belenenses

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Louletano DC0.95
CF Os Belenenses1.22
1X2
28% 30% 42%
Louletano DC Draw CF Os Belenenses
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Louletano DC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWDLDWDD
CF Os Belenenses 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDDWWLDLDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Louletano DC 1522 · CF Os Belenenses 1510
Louletano DCDrawCF Os Belenenses
Our model27%32%41%
Market29%29%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Louletano DCCF Os Belenenses
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.11.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.60.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.53.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.13.3 / 0.1

Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Mafra 1100 503
2 Sporting Covilha 1100 203
3 Atletico CP Lisbon 1100 103
3 CF Os Belenenses 1100 103
5 UD Oliveirense 2020 112
6 Louletano DC 1010 001
7 UD Santarem 2011 131
8 Caldas SC 1001 010
8 Lusitano GC Evora 1001 010
10 GD Vitoria de Sernache 1001 050

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Louletano DC

WWLWDLDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 UD Oliveirense
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-0 20 D
31/05 GD Vitoria de Sernache
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-1 57 D
23/05 Oliveira Hospital
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 2-1 312 W
17/05 AT Malveira
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-1 54 D
10/05 GD Vitoria de Sernache
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 1-2 58 L
03/05 Oliveira Hospital
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-1 36 D
26/04 AT Malveira
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-1 2-1 47 W
18/04 AT Malveira
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-2 18 L
12/04 Vasco Da Gama Vidigueira
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-1 5-2 105 W
04/04 Moncarapachense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-0 74 W

CF Os Belenenses

LDDWWLDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Caldas SC
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 1-0 71 W
31/07 Estoril
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 22 D
24/07 Benfica
Elite Club Friendlies
1-3 1-5 20 L
30/05 SC Farense
Portugal Segunda Liga Play-Offs
0-0 0-0 114 D
23/05 SC Farense
Portugal Segunda Liga Play-Offs
0-1 0-1 44 L
16/05 CD Mafra
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 3-1 23 W
10/05 Varzim
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 2-1 63 W
02/05 UD Santarem
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-1 125 D
26/04 Amarante
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 2-2 64 D
19/04 Academica
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 1-2 78 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Louletano DC vs CF Os Belenenses?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CF Os Belenenses win (42%). Probabilities: Louletano DC 28%, draw 30%, CF Os Belenenses 42%.

How many goals are expected in Louletano DC vs CF Os Belenenses?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Louletano DC 0.95 · CF Os Belenenses 1.22), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Louletano DC vs CF Os Belenenses?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.