Prediction: CF Os Belenenses vs UD Santarem
Team pages: CF Os Belenenses · UD Santarem
See it on the live radar ↗- CF Os Belenenses1-1UD Santarem
- UD Santarem0-2CF Os Belenenses
- UD Santarem2-1CF Os Belenenses
- CF Os Belenenses0-2UD Santarem
- CF Os Belenenses2-0UD Santarem
- UD Santarem1-2CF Os Belenenses
| CF Os Belenenses | Draw | UD Santarem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 27% | 15% |
| Market | 59% | 24% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CF Os Belenenses (rating 1538 vs 1451).
- H2H favours CF Os Belenenses: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CF Os Belenenses | UD Santarem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 5.6 | 1.7 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Os Belenenses 3–1–2 UD Santarem
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Portugal Liga 3 | CF Os Belenenses | 1-1 HT 1-1 | UD Santarem |
| 08/03/26 Portugal Liga 3 | UD Santarem | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CF Os Belenenses |
| 24/01/26 Portugal Liga 3 | UD Santarem | 2-1 HT 2-1 | CF Os Belenenses |
| 02/11/25 Portugal Liga 3 | CF Os Belenenses | 0-2 HT 0-0 | UD Santarem |
| 12/01/25 Portugal Liga 3 | CF Os Belenenses | 2-0 HT 2-0 | UD Santarem |
| 29/09/24 Portugal Liga 3 | UD Santarem | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CF Os Belenenses |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | CD Mafra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Sporting Covilha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | UD Oliveirense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC Evora | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Louletano DC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | UD Santarem | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | GD Vitoria de Sernache | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CF Os Belenenses | UD Santarem |
|---|---|---|
| CD Mafra | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Varzim | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Amarante | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Academica | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Guimaraes B | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Trofense | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CF Os Belenenses (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CF Os Belenenses
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Louletano DC Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 11/04 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
UD Santarem
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 08/08 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CF Os Belenenses vs UD Santarem?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CF Os Belenenses win (58%). Probabilities: CF Os Belenenses 58%, draw 25%, UD Santarem 16%.
How many goals are expected in CF Os Belenenses vs UD Santarem?
The model expects 2.32 goals (CF Os Belenenses 1.6 · UD Santarem 0.71), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CF Os Belenenses vs UD Santarem?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.