Prediction: Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver
Team pages: Trofense · Sao Joao Ver
- Trofense1-1Sao Joao Ver
- Sao Joao Ver0-0Trofense
- Sao Joao Ver0-1Trofense
- Trofense3-0Sao Joao Ver
- Sao Joao Ver1-0Trofense
- Trofense1-1Sao Joao Ver
| Trofense | Draw | Sao Joao Ver | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 35% | 32% |
| Market | 35% | 31% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sao Joao Ver (rating 1435 vs 1527).
- H2H favours Trofense: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trofense | Sao Joao Ver | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trofense 2–3–1 Sao Joao Ver
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Trofense | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sao Joao Ver |
| 09/08/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Sao Joao Ver | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Trofense |
| 30/03/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Sao Joao Ver | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Trofense |
| 09/03/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Trofense | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Sao Joao Ver |
| 05/01/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Sao Joao Ver | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Trofense |
| 15/09/24 Portugal Liga 3 | Trofense | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sao Joao Ver |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Varzim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | AD Fafe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | SC Vianense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Sao Joao Ver | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 8 | Leca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Trofense | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trofense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | SC Vianense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 09/08 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Salgueiros Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 31/07 | AVS Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 11/04 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Sao Joao Ver
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Leca Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | CF Os Marialvas Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | Braga Club Friendly List |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | AD Sanjoanense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/04 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | AD Marco 09 Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | D |
| 21/03 | Braga B Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Trofense win (34%). Probabilities: Trofense 34%, draw 33%, Sao Joao Ver 34%.
How many goals are expected in Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver?
The model expects 1.83 goals (Trofense 0.92 · Sao Joao Ver 0.92), with a 59% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.