Football · Portugal Liga 3 · 22/08, 18:00

Prediction: Lusitano GC Evora vs CD Mafra

Team pages: Lusitano GC Evora · CD Mafra

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Lusitano GC Evora1.17
CD Mafra1.19
1X2
34% 31% 35%
Lusitano GC Evora Draw CD Mafra
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lusitano GC Evora 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWDWWWLLD
CD Mafra 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLWWDLWD
Head-to-head
Lusitano GC Evora 1–1–0 CD Mafra (2 last)
  • CD Mafra1-1Lusitano GC Evora
  • Lusitano GC Evora4-1CD Mafra
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lusitano GC Evora 1508 · CD Mafra 1521
Lusitano GC EvoraDrawCD Mafra
Our model34%31%35%
Market34%31%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lusitano GC EvoraCD Mafra
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.81.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.41.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 6.42.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.23.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lusitano GC Evora 110 CD Mafra

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
30/11/25
Portugal Liga 3
CD Mafra1-1
HT 0-0
Lusitano GC Evora
17/08/25
Portugal Liga 3
Lusitano GC Evora4-1
HT 2-0
CD Mafra

Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CF Os Belenenses 2200 416
2 CD Mafra 2110 614
3 Atletico CP Lisbon 2110 214
4 Sporting Covilha 2110 204
5 UD Oliveirense 2020 112
6 Caldas SC 2011 011
6 Lusitano GC Evora 2011 011
8 Louletano DC 2011 131
8 UD Santarem 2011 131
10 GD Vitoria de Sernache 2011 051

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lusitano GC Evora

DLWDWWWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Caldas SC
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-0 67 D
08/08 Atletico CP Lisbon
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-1 64 L
02/05 Atletico CP Lisbon
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-1 84 L
25/04 Amora
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 2-1 65 W
18/04 Sporting Covilha
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 1-0 31 W
11/04 SU 1 Dezembro
Portugal Liga 3
2-0 2-1 75 W
22/03 Caldas SC
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-1 74 D
14/03 Sporting Covilha
Portugal Liga 3
2-0 3-1 84 W
07/03 Caldas SC
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-1 77 L
28/02 SU 1 Dezembro
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-1 63 D

CD Mafra

LWWLWWDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Atletico CP Lisbon
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-1 63 D
08/08 GD Vitoria de Sernache
Portugal Liga 3
3-0 5-0 63 W
16/05 CF Os Belenenses
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 1-3 33 L
09/05 Academica
Portugal Liga 3
2-0 3-3 57 D
03/05 Guimaraes B
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 2-0 25 W
25/04 Trofense
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 1-0 112 W
19/04 Amarante
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 1-4 43 L
11/04 Varzim
Portugal Liga 3
2-0 2-0 44 W
03/04 UD Santarem
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 2-1 23 W
22/03 CF Os Belenenses
Portugal Liga 3
1-3 1-4 16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lusitano GC Evora vs CD Mafra?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Mafra win (35%). Probabilities: Lusitano GC Evora 34%, draw 31%, CD Mafra 35%.

How many goals are expected in Lusitano GC Evora vs CD Mafra?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Lusitano GC Evora 1.17 · CD Mafra 1.19), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Lusitano GC Evora vs CD Mafra?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.