Prediction: Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Sichuan Jiannanchun Women

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Changchun Dazhong (W)1.4
Sichuan Jiannanchun Women0.96
1X2
46% 28% 25%
Changchun Dazhong (W) Draw Sichuan Jiannanchun Women
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Changchun Dazhong (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDWLDLDL
Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DDLLLLLDDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Changchun Dazhong (W) 1466 · Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 1456
Changchun Dazhong (W)DrawSichuan Jiannanchun Women
Our model46%30%25%
Market47%28%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Changchun Dazhong (W)Sichuan Jiannanchun Women
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.21.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.11.1 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 01.1 / 0

Standings · China Super League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 10901 17327
2 Beijing (W) 10811 20825
3 Shanghai (W) 10631 18721
4 Wuhan Jiangda (W) 10622 13920
5 Jiangsu Suning (W) 10613 141119
6 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 10406 51112
7 Changchun Dazhong (W) 10235 6129
8 Guangdong (W) 10154 8148
9 Shaanxi Zhidan (W) 10217 597
10 Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 10145 12187
11 Shandong (W) 10145 7137
12 Guangxi Pingguo (W) 10046 7174

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChangchun Dazhong (W)Sichuan Jiannanchun Women
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 0-1 L 0-1 L
Guangdong (W) 1-1 D 4-1 W
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 0-1 L 1-3 L
Shandong (W) 1-1 D 1-1 D
Beijing (W) 1-3 L 1-3 L
Shaanxi Zhidan (W) 2-1 W 0-0 D
Shanghai (W) 0-0 D 1-1 D
Guangxi Pingguo (W) 1-0 W 2-2 D
Jiangsu Suning (W) 0-2 L 2-3 L
Wuhan Jiangda (W) 0-2 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 5 L 1 W 4 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Changchun Dazhong (W) (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Changchun Dazhong (W)

LLWDWLDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-1 52 L
05/07 Guangdong (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 1-1 42 D
28/06 Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-1 43 L
24/06 Shandong (W)
China Super League Women
1-1 1-1 54 D
19/06 Beijing (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 1-3 13 L
14/06 Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
China Super League Women
2-0 2-1 30 W
17/05 Shanghai (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-0 12 D
09/05 Guangxi Pingguo (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 1-0 31 W
03/05 Jiangsu Suning (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 0-2 53 L
25/04 Wuhan Jiangda (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 0-2 02 L

Sichuan Jiannanchun Women

DDLLLLLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Guangdong (W)
China Super League Women
3-0 4-1 22 W
04/07 Shanghai (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 1-1 21 D
28/06 Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-0 40 D
24/06 Beijing (W)
China Super League Women
1-1 1-3 21 L
20/06 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-1 31 L
13/06 Jiangsu Suning (W)
China Super League Women
2-1 2-3 23 L
16/05 Wuhan Jiangda (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 0-3 30 L
09/05 Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 1-3 01 L
02/05 Shandong (W)
China Super League Women
1-1 1-1 61 D
25/04 Guangxi Pingguo (W)
China Super League Women
2-2 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Sichuan Jiannanchun Women?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Changchun Dazhong (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Changchun Dazhong (W) 46%, draw 28%, Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 25%.

How many goals are expected in Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Sichuan Jiannanchun Women?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Changchun Dazhong (W) 1.4 · Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 0.96), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Sichuan Jiannanchun Women?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.