Football · China Super League Women · 19/07, 11:00
Prediction: Jiangsu Suning (W) vs Wuhan Jiangda (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Jiangsu Suning (W)1.3
Wuhan Jiangda (W)1.17
1X2
Jiangsu Suning (W)
Draw
Wuhan Jiangda (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jiangsu Suning (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Wuhan Jiangda (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jiangsu Suning (W)
0–1–5
Wuhan Jiangda (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiangsu Suning (W) 1521 · Wuhan Jiangda (W) 1542
| Jiangsu Suning (W) | Draw | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 37% | 31% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Wuhan Jiangda (W): 5-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jiangsu Suning (W) | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 1.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiangsu Suning (W) 0–1–5 Wuhan Jiangda (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/25 China Super League Women | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 3-1 | Jiangsu Suning (W) |
| 21/06/25 China Super League Women | Jiangsu Suning (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) |
| 17/08/24 China Super League Women | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 1-0 | Jiangsu Suning (W) |
| 27/04/24 China Super League Women | Jiangsu Suning (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) |
| 25/11/23 China Super League Women | Jiangsu Suning (W) | 0-1 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) |
| 14/05/23 China Super League Women | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 2-0 | Jiangsu Suning (W) |
Standings · China Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 27 |
| 2 | Beijing (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Shanghai (W) | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Jiangsu Suning (W) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Guangdong (W) | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 7 |
| 11 | Shandong (W) | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jiangsu Suning (W) | Wuhan Jiangda (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Shanghai (W) | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Guangdong (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Beijing (W) | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Changchun Dazhong (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Shandong (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 3 L | 6 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wuhan Jiangda (W) (3 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiangsu Suning (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
Wuhan Jiangda (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 05/07 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/06 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 24/06 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiangsu Suning (W) vs Wuhan Jiangda (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jiangsu Suning (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Jiangsu Suning (W) 38%, draw 31%, Wuhan Jiangda (W) 32%.
How many goals are expected in Jiangsu Suning (W) vs Wuhan Jiangda (W)?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Jiangsu Suning (W) 1.3 · Wuhan Jiangda (W) 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jiangsu Suning (W) vs Wuhan Jiangda (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.