Prediction: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Guangxi Pingguo (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)2.19
Guangxi Pingguo (W)0.62
1X2
73% 18% 9%
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) Draw Guangxi Pingguo (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WLWWWWWWWW
Guangxi Pingguo (W) 0-4-6 (W-D-L)
DLLDLLDLDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 1603 · Guangxi Pingguo (W) 1425
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)DrawGuangxi Pingguo (W)
Our model73%19%8%
Market73%18%9%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) (rating 1603 vs 1425).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)Guangxi Pingguo (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.30.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.10.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%0/44/56%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 4.91.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.6 / 01.6 / 0

Standings · China Super League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 10901 17327
2 Beijing (W) 10811 20825
3 Shanghai (W) 10631 18721
4 Wuhan Jiangda (W) 10622 13920
5 Jiangsu Suning (W) 10613 141119
6 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 10406 51112
7 Changchun Dazhong (W) 10235 6129
8 Guangdong (W) 10154 8148
9 Shaanxi Zhidan (W) 10217 597
10 Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 10145 12187
11 Shandong (W) 10145 7137
12 Guangxi Pingguo (W) 10046 7174

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLiaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)Guangxi Pingguo (W)
Jiangsu Suning (W) 2-0 W 1-2 L
Wuhan Jiangda (W) 2-0 W 1-1 D
Changchun Dazhong (W) 1-0 W 0-1 L
Shaanxi Zhidan (W) 1-0 W 0-2 L
Shanghai (W) 2-1 W 1-4 L
Shandong (W) 3-0 W 0-0 D
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 1-0 W 0-1 L
Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 3-1 W 2-2 D
Beijing (W) 0-1 L 0-2 L
Guangdong (W) 2-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 9 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 4 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) (10 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)

WLWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Jiangsu Suning (W)
China Super League Women
1-0 2-0 11 W
05/07 Wuhan Jiangda (W)
China Super League Women
1-0 2-0 21 W
28/06 Changchun Dazhong (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 1-0 73 W
24/06 Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 1-0 61 W
19/06 Shanghai (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 2-1 50 W
13/06 Shandong (W)
China Super League Women
1-0 3-0 31 W
16/05 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 1-0 120 W
09/05 Sichuan Jiannanchun Women
China Super League Women
1-0 3-1 31 W
02/05 Beijing (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 0-1 33 L
25/04 Guangdong (W)
China Super League Women
1-0 2-0 75 W

Guangxi Pingguo (W)

DLLDLLDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
China Super League Women
0-2 0-2 91 L
04/07 Shandong (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-0 00 D
29/06 Beijing (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 0-2 51 L
24/06 Wuhan Jiangda (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 1-1 53 D
20/06 Jiangsu Suning (W)
China Super League Women
1-1 1-2 04 L
14/06 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 0-1 52 L
16/05 Guangdong (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 2-2 51 D
09/05 Changchun Dazhong (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-1 81 L
02/05 Shanghai (W)
China Super League Women
1-3 1-4 01 L
25/04 Sichuan Jiannanchun Women
China Super League Women
2-2 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Guangxi Pingguo (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 73%, draw 18%, Guangxi Pingguo (W) 9%.

How many goals are expected in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Guangxi Pingguo (W)?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 2.19 · Guangxi Pingguo (W) 0.62), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Guangxi Pingguo (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.