Football · China Super League Women · 15/07, 13:35
Prediction: Wuhan Jiangda (W) vs Shandong (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Wuhan Jiangda (W)1.68
Shandong (W)0.85
1X2
Wuhan Jiangda (W)
Draw
Shandong (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wuhan Jiangda (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Shandong (W)
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wuhan Jiangda (W)
5–1
Shandong (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wuhan Jiangda (W) 1494 · Shandong (W) 1457
| Wuhan Jiangda (W) | Draw | Shandong (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Wuhan Jiangda (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wuhan Jiangda (W) | Shandong (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Jiangda (W) 5–0–1 Shandong (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/25 China Super League Women | Shandong (W) | 2-1 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) |
| 14/06/25 China Super League Women | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 2-1 | Shandong (W) |
| 10/08/24 China Super League Women | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 1-0 | Shandong (W) |
| 20/04/24 China Super League Women | Shandong (W) | 0-4 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) |
| 02/09/23 China Super League Women | Shandong (W) | 0-3 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) |
| 18/04/23 China Super League Women | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 2-0 | Shandong (W) |
Standings · China Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 27 |
| 2 | Beijing (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Shanghai (W) | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Jiangsu Suning (W) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Guangdong (W) | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | Shandong (W) | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | Shandong (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Guangdong (W) | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Shanghai (W) | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Changchun Dazhong (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Wuhan Jiangda (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wuhan Jiangda (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/06 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 24/06 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Suwon FMC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Shandong (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 28/06 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/11 | Beijing National (W) China National Games Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wuhan Jiangda (W) vs Shandong (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuhan Jiangda (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Wuhan Jiangda (W) 56%, draw 26%, Shandong (W) 18%.
How many goals are expected in Wuhan Jiangda (W) vs Shandong (W)?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Wuhan Jiangda (W) 1.68 · Shandong (W) 0.85), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Jiangda (W) vs Shandong (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.