Football · China Super League Women · 19/07, 11:00
Prediction: Guangdong (W) vs Shanghai (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Guangdong (W)0.65
Shanghai (W)1.67
1X2
Guangdong (W)
Draw
Shanghai (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Guangdong (W)
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Shanghai (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guangdong (W)
1–3–2
Shanghai (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guangdong (W) 1461 · Shanghai (W) 1563
| Guangdong (W) | Draw | Shanghai (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 26% | 61% |
| Market | 14% | 23% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai (W) (rating 1461 vs 1563).
- H2H favours Shanghai (W): 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangdong (W) | Shanghai (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 3.5 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong (W) 1–3–2 Shanghai (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/25 China Super League Women | Shanghai (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Guangdong (W) |
| 12/03/25 China Super League Women | Guangdong (W) | 1-1 | Shanghai (W) |
| 28/07/24 China Super League Women | Shanghai (W) | 4-1 HT 4-0 | Guangdong (W) |
| 31/03/24 China Super League Women | Guangdong (W) | 1-0 | Shanghai (W) |
| 05/11/23 China Super League Women | Guangdong (W) | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Shanghai (W) |
| 26/04/23 China Super League Women | Shanghai (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Guangdong (W) |
Standings · China Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 27 |
| 2 | Beijing (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Shanghai (W) | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Jiangsu Suning (W) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Guangdong (W) | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 7 |
| 11 | Shandong (W) | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guangdong (W) | Shanghai (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Changchun Dazhong (W) | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Jiangsu Suning (W) | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Shandong (W) | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Beijing (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 4 L | 6 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Shanghai (W) (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangdong (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/06 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/06 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Shanghai (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangdong (W) vs Shanghai (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shanghai (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Guangdong (W) 14%, draw 24%, Shanghai (W) 62%.
How many goals are expected in Guangdong (W) vs Shanghai (W)?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Guangdong (W) 0.65 · Shanghai (W) 1.67), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangdong (W) vs Shanghai (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.