Prediction: UD Santarem vs UD Oliveirense
Team pages: UD Santarem · UD Oliveirense
| UD Santarem | Draw | UD Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 34% | 37% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UD Santarem | UD Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Mafra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sporting Covilha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CF Os Belenenses | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | UD Oliveirense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 6 | Louletano DC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | UD Santarem | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | Lusitano GC Evora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | GD Vitoria de Sernache | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UD Santarem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Academica Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
UD Oliveirense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Louletano DC Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 21/03 | Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/03 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UD Santarem vs UD Oliveirense?
According to our model, the most likely result is an UD Oliveirense win (38%). Probabilities: UD Santarem 31%, draw 31%, UD Oliveirense 38%.
How many goals are expected in UD Santarem vs UD Oliveirense?
The model expects 1.96 goals (UD Santarem 0.91 · UD Oliveirense 1.05), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in UD Santarem vs UD Oliveirense?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.