Prediction: Atletico CP Lisbon vs CD Mafra
Team pages: Atletico CP Lisbon · CD Mafra
- Atletico CP Lisbon1-2CD Mafra
- CD Mafra1-0Atletico CP Lisbon
- Atletico CP Lisbon1-1CD Mafra
- CD Mafra0-0Atletico CP Lisbon
| Atletico CP Lisbon | Draw | CD Mafra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 32% | 32% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Mafra (rating 1484 vs 1532).
- H2H favours CD Mafra: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico CP Lisbon | CD Mafra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico CP Lisbon 0–2–2 CD Mafra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Portugal Liga 3 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 1-2 HT 0-0 | CD Mafra |
| 02/11/25 Portugal Liga 3 | CD Mafra | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico CP Lisbon |
| 02/04/16 Portugal Segunda Liga | Atletico CP Lisbon | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CD Mafra |
| 08/11/15 Portugal Segunda Liga | CD Mafra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico CP Lisbon |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Mafra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sporting Covilha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CF Os Belenenses | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | UD Oliveirense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 6 | Louletano DC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | UD Santarem | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | Lusitano GC Evora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | GD Vitoria de Sernache | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico CP Lisbon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Benfica B Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | SU 1 Dezembro Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Amora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 14/03 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | Amora Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 28/02 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
CD Mafra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Liga 3 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | SU Sintrense Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Alverca Europe Friendlies |
– | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | FC Fredericia Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Esbjerg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico CP Lisbon vs CD Mafra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico CP Lisbon win (37%). Probabilities: Atletico CP Lisbon 37%, draw 31%, CD Mafra 33%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico CP Lisbon vs CD Mafra?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Atletico CP Lisbon 1.15 · CD Mafra 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico CP Lisbon vs CD Mafra?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.