Prediction: AEK Athens vs Panetolikos
Team pages: AEK Athens · Panetolikos
- Panetolikos0-5AEK Athens
- AEK Athens1-0Panetolikos
- AEK Athens2-1Panetolikos
- AEK Athens1-0Panetolikos
- Panetolikos1-0AEK Athens
- Panetolikos2-2AEK Athens
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panetolikos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 84% | 10% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEK Athens (rating 1601 vs 1441).
- H2H favours AEK Athens: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AEK Athens | Panetolikos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.5 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AEK Athens 4–1–1 Panetolikos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 Greece Super League 1 | Panetolikos | 0-5 HT 0-2 | AEK Athens |
| 02/11/25 Greece Super League 1 | AEK Athens | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Panetolikos |
| 24/09/25 Greece Cup | AEK Athens | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Panetolikos |
| 25/01/25 Greece Super League 1 | AEK Athens | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Panetolikos |
| 05/10/24 Greece Super League 1 | Panetolikos | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AEK Athens |
| 18/12/23 Greece Super League 1 | Panetolikos | 2-2 HT 1-2 | AEK Athens |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | PAOK Salonika | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | AEK Athens | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Aris Salonika | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
| 6 | Kalamata | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| 7 | OFI Crete | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Kifisias FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos Athinon | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 2 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AEK Athens | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Kifisias FC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Olympiacos | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| PAOK Salonika | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Panathinaikos | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: AEK Athens (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AEK Athens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
Panetolikos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 21/05 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AEK Athens vs Panetolikos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AEK Athens win (81%). Probabilities: AEK Athens 81%, draw 12%, Panetolikos 6%.
How many goals are expected in AEK Athens vs Panetolikos?
The model expects 3.55 goals (AEK Athens 2.77 · Panetolikos 0.77), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AEK Athens vs Panetolikos?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.