Football · Greece Super League 1 · 01/11, 16:00
Prediction: Levadiakos vs Aris Salonika
Team pages: Levadiakos · Aris Salonika
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Levadiakos0.91
Aris Salonika1.4
1X2
Levadiakos
Draw
Aris Salonika
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Levadiakos
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Aris Salonika
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Levadiakos
1–3–2
Aris Salonika
(6 last)
- Aris Salonika3-0Levadiakos
- Levadiakos1-1Aris Salonika
- Aris Salonika2-2Levadiakos
- Levadiakos1-1Aris Salonika
- Levadiakos4-1Aris Salonika
- Aris Salonika3-1Levadiakos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Levadiakos 1451 · Aris Salonika 1564
| Levadiakos | Draw | Aris Salonika | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 30% | 47% |
| Market | 24% | 28% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aris Salonika (rating 1451 vs 1564).
- H2H favours Aris Salonika: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Levadiakos | Aris Salonika | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 2.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.5 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Levadiakos 1–3–2 Aris Salonika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Greece Super League 1 | Aris Salonika | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Levadiakos |
| 05/04/26 Greece Super League 1 | Levadiakos | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Aris Salonika |
| 25/01/26 Greece Super League 1 | Aris Salonika | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Levadiakos |
| 26/10/25 Greece Super League 1 | Levadiakos | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Aris Salonika |
| 16/02/25 Greece Super League 1 | Levadiakos | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Aris Salonika |
| 03/11/24 Greece Super League 1 | Aris Salonika | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Levadiakos |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Aris Salonika | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| 5 | PAOK Salonika | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Kifisias FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 10 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 9 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 6 |
| 12 | Levadiakos | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 3 |
| 13 | Atromitos Athinon | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Levadiakos | Aris Salonika |
|---|---|---|
| Volos NFC | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Iraklis 1908 FC | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Kifisias FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| PAOK Salonika | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| OFI Crete | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Aris Salonika (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Levadiakos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | D |
| 11/10 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 13/05 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 13 | W |
Aris Salonika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
3-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Levadiakos vs Aris Salonika?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aris Salonika win (48%). Probabilities: Levadiakos 24%, draw 29%, Aris Salonika 48%.
How many goals are expected in Levadiakos vs Aris Salonika?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Levadiakos 0.91 · Aris Salonika 1.4), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Levadiakos vs Aris Salonika?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.