Football · Greece Super League 1 · 01/11, 17:00
Prediction: Panetolikos vs OFI Crete
Team pages: Panetolikos · OFI Crete
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Panetolikos1.2
OFI Crete1.3
1X2
Panetolikos
Draw
OFI Crete
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Panetolikos
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
OFI Crete
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Panetolikos
4–2
OFI Crete
(6 last)
- OFI Crete1-0Panetolikos
- Panetolikos4-2OFI Crete
- Panetolikos1-0OFI Crete
- OFI Crete1-2Panetolikos
- OFI Crete2-1Panetolikos
- OFI Crete1-2Panetolikos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Panetolikos 1449 · OFI Crete 1514
| Panetolikos | Draw | OFI Crete | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 38% |
| Market | 33% | 30% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OFI Crete (rating 1449 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Panetolikos: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Panetolikos | OFI Crete | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Panetolikos 4–0–2 OFI Crete
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Panetolikos |
| 18/10/25 Greece Super League 1 | Panetolikos | 4-2 HT 0-0 | OFI Crete |
| 19/01/25 Greece Super League 1 | Panetolikos | 1-0 HT 1-0 | OFI Crete |
| 29/09/24 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Panetolikos |
| 25/09/24 Greece Cup | OFI Crete | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Panetolikos |
| 11/05/24 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Panetolikos |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Aris Salonika | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| 5 | PAOK Salonika | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Kifisias FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 10 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 9 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 6 |
| 12 | Levadiakos | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 3 |
| 13 | Atromitos Athinon | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Panetolikos | OFI Crete |
|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens | 0-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Olympiacos | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Kifisias FC | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| PAOK Salonika | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Levadiakos | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Kalamata | 2-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Asteras Tripolis | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: OFI Crete (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Panetolikos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 21/05 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
OFI Crete
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?
According to our model, the most likely result is an OFI Crete win (38%). Probabilities: Panetolikos 33%, draw 30%, OFI Crete 38%.
How many goals are expected in Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Panetolikos 1.2 · OFI Crete 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.