Football · Greece Super League 1 · 25/10, 18:30
Prediction: Aris Salonika vs Atromitos Athinon
Team pages: Aris Salonika · Atromitos Athinon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Aris Salonika1.67
Atromitos Athinon0.83
1X2
Aris Salonika
Draw
Atromitos Athinon
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Aris Salonika
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Atromitos Athinon
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aris Salonika
3–3–0
Atromitos Athinon
(6 last)
- Aris Salonika0-0Atromitos Athinon
- Atromitos Athinon1-2Aris Salonika
- Atromitos Athinon1-1Aris Salonika
- Aris Salonika1-0Atromitos Athinon
- Aris Salonika2-1Atromitos Athinon
- Atromitos Athinon1-1Aris Salonika
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aris Salonika 1575 · Atromitos Athinon 1450
| Aris Salonika | Draw | Atromitos Athinon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aris Salonika (rating 1575 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Aris Salonika: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aris Salonika | Atromitos Athinon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.6 | 2.7 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aris Salonika 3–3–0 Atromitos Athinon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Greece Super League 1 | Aris Salonika | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 13/09/25 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Aris Salonika |
| 26/04/25 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Aris Salonika |
| 13/04/25 Greece Super League 1 | Aris Salonika | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 07/12/24 Greece Super League 1 | Aris Salonika | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 18/08/24 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Aris Salonika |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | PAOK Salonika | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | AEK Athens | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Aris Salonika | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
| 6 | Kalamata | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| 7 | OFI Crete | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Kifisias FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos Athinon | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 2 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aris Salonika | Atromitos Athinon |
|---|---|---|
| Kifisias FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Iraklis 1908 FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| PAOK Salonika | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Kalamata | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aris Salonika (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aris Salonika
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Atromitos Athinon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 21/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aris Salonika vs Atromitos Athinon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aris Salonika win (57%). Probabilities: Aris Salonika 57%, draw 26%, Atromitos Athinon 18%.
How many goals are expected in Aris Salonika vs Atromitos Athinon?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Aris Salonika 1.67 · Atromitos Athinon 0.83), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Aris Salonika vs Atromitos Athinon?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.