Football · Thailand Premier League · 11/09, 13:30
Prediction: Port FC vs Lamphun Warrior FC
Team pages: Port FC · Lamphun Warrior FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Port FC2.06
Lamphun Warrior FC0.71
1X2
Port FC
Draw
Lamphun Warrior FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Port FC
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Lamphun Warrior FC
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Port FC
3–1–2
Lamphun Warrior FC
(6 last)
- Port FC3-0Lamphun Warrior FC
- Lamphun Warrior FC0-2Port FC
- Lamphun Warrior FC2-0Port FC
- Lamphun Warrior FC3-2Port FC
- Port FC2-1Lamphun Warrior FC
- Lamphun Warrior FC2-2Port FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Port FC 1619 · Lamphun Warrior FC 1445
| Port FC | Draw | Lamphun Warrior FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 21% | 11% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Port FC (rating 1619 vs 1445).
- H2H favours Port FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Port FC | Lamphun Warrior FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.8 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Port FC 3–1–2 Lamphun Warrior FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Thailand Premier League | Port FC | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Lamphun Warrior FC |
| 02/11/25 Thailand Premier League | Lamphun Warrior FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Port FC |
| 16/04/25 Thailand League Cup | Lamphun Warrior FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Port FC |
| 30/03/25 Thailand Premier League | Lamphun Warrior FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Port FC |
| 08/01/25 Thailand Premier League | Port FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Lamphun Warrior FC |
| 30/03/24 Thailand Premier League | Lamphun Warrior FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Port FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uthai Thani FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bangkok United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Buriram United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Ayutthaya United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Port FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Chiangrai Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | BG Pathum United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Pattani FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Rasi Salai United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Ratchaburi FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Chonburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Prachuap FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Sisaket United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Sukhothai FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Port FC | Lamphun Warrior FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ayutthaya United | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Buriram United | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Uthai Thani FC | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Prachuap FC | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Chiangrai Utd | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Bangkok United | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Port FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Port FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Rasi Salai United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 04/04 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 06/03 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/03 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
Lamphun Warrior FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 14/03 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 06/03 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/02 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Port FC vs Lamphun Warrior FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Port FC win (69%). Probabilities: Port FC 69%, draw 20%, Lamphun Warrior FC 11%.
How many goals are expected in Port FC vs Lamphun Warrior FC?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Port FC 2.06 · Lamphun Warrior FC 0.71), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Port FC vs Lamphun Warrior FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.